Prediction for match Paris FC — Marseille, 31.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Ligue 1, Paris FC will face Marseille on January 31. According to the odds, Marseille is the favorite to win: their victory is priced at 1.97 with a 49.94% chance of success. Paris FC has odds of 3.96 with a 24.84% chance, while a draw is at 3.90 (25.22%). The over 2.5 goals line is at 1.79, and both teams to score is at 1.63. These figures suggest an open game with both teams focusing on attacking play. The over 2.25 and over 2.75 goal lines are also at reasonable odds of 1.52 and 1.88 respectively, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Paris FC drew 0-0 with Angers (25.01.2026), defeated Nantes 2-1 (18.01.2026), and beat PSG 1-0 (12.01.2026). Marseille's last three games were a 0-3 loss to Brugge (28.01.2026), a 3-1 win over Lens (24.01.2026), and a 0-3 defeat by Liverpool (21.01.2026). In their head-to-head on August 23, 2025, Marseille thrashed Paris FC 5-2. Paris FC holds an average possession rate of 50.6%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Marseille excels in possession (63.4%), averaging 1 yellow card, 11.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per match. These stats highlight the high activity of both teams, especially Marseille, who consistently control the game and frequently attack down the flanks, as evidenced by their high possession percentage.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Paris FC has an average total of 2 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6 per game. Marseille shows very high scoring ability: an average of 5.2 goals per match, with 3.4 scored and 1.8 conceded. Paris FC has gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their 5 games, while Marseille has done so in all 5. Paris FC hasn't reached over 1.5 goals in the first half in any of their last 5 matches, but they've hit over 1.5 in the second half in 3 out of 5. Marseille has gone over 1.5 goals in the first half in 4 out of 5, and the same in the second half. Paris FC most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (67%), and concedes towards the end (76-90 minutes, 43%). Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (50%) and concedes towards the end (76-90 minutes, 33%). Given Marseille's high scoring rate, both teams' regular over 2.5 goals records, and active second halves, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.79 seems logical for this match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Paris FC averages 2.6 corners per match, while Marseille averages 5.2. In the last 5 games, Paris FC has only gone over 9.5 corners once, while Marseille has done so in 2 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are at 2.04, and under 9.5 is at 1.69. Marseille is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.64. Considering that both teams rarely hit high corner totals, under 9.5 seems reasonable, although Marseille's attacking style could increase the number of flank deliveries, especially if Paris FC plays defensively. Overall, 8-10 corners can be expected in the match, with a slight edge towards Marseille.