Prediction for match Paris FC — Nice

Odds and Probability Percentages

Paris FC and Nice will face off on March 1st in Ligue 1. According to the odds, Paris FC is the favorite: their win is priced at 2.52, Nice's victory at 3.08, and a draw at 3.39. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Paris FC - 39.04%, draw - 29.02%, Nice - 31.94%. This suggests a slight advantage for Paris FC, but Nice is also highly rated. The match promises to be closely contested, with no clear bias towards either side according to the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Paris FC played as follows: February 21, 2026 - Toulouse vs Paris FC - 1-1, February 14, 2026 - Paris FC vs Lens - 0-5, February 8, 2026 - Auxerre vs Paris FC - 0-0. Nice's last three encounters were: February 22, 2026 - Nice vs Lorient - 3-3, February 15, 2026 - Lyon vs Nice - 2-0, February 8, 2026 - Nice vs Monaco - 0-0. The last head-to-head match was on September 28, 2025: Nice vs Paris FC - 1-1. In additional metrics, Paris FC has an average ball possession of 51.4% over five matches, while Nice has 50.4%. Paris FC averages 3 yellow cards and 12.2 fouls per game, whereas Nice averages 2 yellow cards and 13.6 fouls. In terms of offsides: Paris FC - 2.2, Nice - 1.2. These figures reflect a certain defensive discipline and attacking activity from both teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match span, Paris FC averages 2.6 goals per match, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2. Nice's average total is higher at 3.4, with 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded. In terms of matches with over 2.5 goals: Paris FC has 2 out of 5, Nice has 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Paris FC and twice for Nice, while in the second half, both teams went over 1.5 goals three times out of five. For goal intervals: Paris FC most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (80%), Nice between 61-75 (40%). Paris FC concedes most often in four different intervals, 25% each: 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90. Nice's most frequent time for conceding is 0-15 and 61-75 (29% each). Given both teams' tendency for high-scoring second halves and their overall high goal averages, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.97 is logical. Nice consistently scores, and Paris FC frequently concedes, enhancing the likelihood of this outcome.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last five matches, Paris FC averages 3.6 corners, Nice 5.8. For matches with over 9.5 corners: Paris FC has 3 out of 5, Nice has 5 out of 5. The odds for corner totals are set at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.79, under 9.5 at 1.95. Paris FC is favored to win the corner count at odds of 2.00. In this matchup, expecting at least 9-10 corners is reasonable, given both teams' high averages and Nice's frequent over totals. It's also worth noting that Paris FC often receives more yellow cards, while Nice commits more fouls, potentially leading to additional set pieces and, consequently, an increased number of corners.