Prediction for match PSG — Chelsea

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Champions League on 11/03/2026, PSG will face Chelsea. The 1X2 odds are as follows: PSG win at 1.91, draw at 3.96, Chelsea win at 4.16. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: PSG - 51.51%, draw - 24.84%, Chelsea - 23.65%. Betting options for total goals: over 2.5 is at 1.64, under 2.5 is at 2.46. Both teams to score: yes - 1.52, no - 2.40. Individual total goals: PSG over 1.5 - 1.65, Chelsea over 1.5 - 2.70. Double chance options: 1X - 1.27, X2 - 1.99, 12 - 1.29. Second half total goals options: over 1.5 - 1.83, under 1.5 - 2.01. Correct score of 2:1 is offered at 8.00.

Team Results and Statistics

PSG's last five matches results: 06/03/2026 - PSG vs Monaco - 1-3, 28/02/2026 - Le Havre vs PSG - 0-1, 25/02/2026 - PSG vs Monaco - 2-2. Chelsea played as follows: 07/03/2026 - Wrexham vs Chelsea - 2-4, 04/03/2026 - Aston Villa vs Chelsea - 1-4, 01/03/2026 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - 2-1. In their last head-to-head on 13/07/2025, Chelsea beat PSG 3-0. Additional stats: PSG's average ball possession is 72%, Chelsea's is 65.4%. PSG averages 0.4 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game over the last 5 matches. Chelsea averages 3.2 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

In their last five games, both teams have shown prolific scoring. PSG's over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times out of 5, Chelsea's also 4 out of 5. Average goals per match: PSG - 3.4, Chelsea - 4. PSG scores an average of 2 and concedes 1.4, Chelsea scores 2.8 and concedes 1.2. First half over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for PSG, 3 times for Chelsea. Second half over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for PSG, 3 times for Chelsea. Goal intervals: PSG frequently scores between 0-15 (25%) and 61-75 (25%), Chelsea between 0-15 (33%) and 16-30 (33%). PSG concedes most often between 16-30 (27%) and 31-45 (27%), Chelsea between 31-45 (42%). Both teams have a strong over-profile on totals and high attacking efficiency. Considering the consistent over 2.5 goals for both sides, average goals per match above 3, and regular scoring in each half, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.64 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

PSG averages 6 corners over 5 matches, Chelsea averages 7. Frequency of over 9.5 corners: PSG - 2 out of 5, Chelsea - 5 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (13) is 12.5, but odds are only available for total 9.5 with two outcomes. Over 9.5 corners is at 1.56, under 9.5 is at 2.35. Chelsea is the favorite for corners outcome with odds of 2.07. An active flank play and high frequency of corners are expected, especially from Chelsea, which is confirmed by their 5 out of 5 record on over 9.5. Considering a bet on over 9.5 corners and Chelsea's individual corner stats is advisable.