Prediction for match PSG — Le Havre, 22.11.2025

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

On November 22, in Ligue 1, PSG faces Le Havre - the bookmakers see a significant difference between the teams. PSG's victory is priced at 1.22, a draw at 7.70, and a win for Le Havre at 15.50. The probability percentages are: PSG - 80.83%, draw - 12.81%, Le Havre - 6.36%. PSG is the clear favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and probability distribution. There are practically no additional advantages in outcomes or betting options for this match - the balance of power is obvious on paper.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, PSG has an average possession of 74.6%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Over the same period, Le Havre holds possession 48.2% of the time, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits an average of 13.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2.6 times. PSG's last three matches: 09.11 Lyon - PSG 2-3, 04.11 PSG - Bayern 1-2, 01.11 PSG - Nice 1-0. Le Havre's last three: 08.11 Le Havre - Nantes 1-1, 02.11 Toulouse - Le Havre 0-0, 29.10 Le Havre - Brest 1-0. In their head-to-head on 19.04.2025, PSG - Le Havre 2-1 - the total of 2.5 was surpassed. Beyond scoring, both teams show different levels of activity: PSG has noticeably higher possession and fewer fouls, while Le Havre has a higher offside count.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last 5 matches, PSG played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice, while Le Havre only surpassed the 2.5-goal mark once, recording under four times. By halves, PSG had over 1.5 goals in each half three out of five times, while Le Havre only once. Average figures: PSG scores 1.8 goals per game and concedes 1, with a total average of 2.8. Le Havre averages exactly 1 scored, 1.4 conceded, with a total average of 2.4. By intervals: PSG most often scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), Le Havre between the 76th and 90th (50%). PSG concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%), while Le Havre's conceded goals are evenly distributed across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (25% each). Considering the difference in scoring, as well as PSG's regular over 1.5 and 2.5 totals, it's logical to choose over 2.75 goals at 1.54 - the team plays actively upfront, and Le Havre occasionally falters defensively. This option fits the frequencies and average values of both teams.

Corners in the Match

PSG averages 8 corners per game, Le Havre 4.2. Over the last five matches, PSG exceeded 9.5 corners three times, Le Havre also three out of five. The total corners over 8.5 is priced at 1.52, under 10.5 at 1.55, and over 9 at 1.66. For corners, PSG stands out as the favorite with odds of 1.11. Analyzing the figures, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems reasonable: both teams reach sufficient numbers, and PSG consistently exceeds 7-8 corners per match. Note that the frequency of corner totals supports the choice of over 8.5.