Prediction for match PSG — Lille, 16.01.2026

Match Analysis: PSG vs Lille

On January 16, in the Ligue 1, a match between PSG and Lille will take place. The odds for a PSG win are 1.48, a draw is at 4.98, and a Lille victory is at 7.11. The probability of a PSG win is estimated at 66.43%, a draw at 19.74%, and a Lille win at 13.83%. PSG stands out as the favorite in terms of both probability and odds, which is supported by the recent match statistics of both teams. The betting line also offers options on totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, allowing for an optimal bet selection for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, PSG demonstrates 63.2% ball possession, receives an average of 1.4 yellow cards per match, commits 9.6 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times. Lille lags behind in these indicators: 49.8% ball possession, also 1.4 yellow cards, 7.2 fouls, and 1 offside. In the last three matches, PSG played: January 12 - PSG vs Paris FC 0-1, January 8 - PSG vs Marseille 6-3, January 4 - PSG vs Paris FC 2-1. Lille played: January 11 - Lille vs Lyon 1-2, January 3 - Lille vs Rennes 0-2, December 14 - Auxerre vs Lille 3-4. The last head-to-head meeting took place on October 5, 2025, ending in a 1-1 draw between Lille and PSG.

How Many Goals to Expect?

PSG shows an average total of 3 goals in the last five matches, while Lille has 2.8. PSG scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4, Lille scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, PSG has 3 out of 5 matches going over, while Lille has 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded once in 5 matches for both teams, while in the second half, PSG had 3 out of 5 going over, and Lille had 2 out of 5. PSG most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%), while Lille scores most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (29%). PSG concedes most frequently between the 61st and 75th minutes (38%), and Lille between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%). Considering the average scoring rate of both teams, the occurrences of over 2.5 goals, and PSG's activity in the second half, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.59.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

PSG averages 6.4 corners per match, Lille 3.6. In the last five matches, both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with a total of over 9.5 corners. Among the available totals on corners, the line closest to the average sum (10) is over 10.5: over 10.5 is at 2.40, under 10.5 at 1.48. PSG is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.27. Given PSG's average activity on corner kicks and Lille's moderate figures, a bet on over 9.5 or 10.5 corners seems justified, especially if PSG is expected to apply pressure in the second half. You can also consider PSG's individual corner total at 5-6, considering their average.