Prediction for match PSG — Liverpool

Match Analysis: PSG vs Liverpool

In the Champions League on April 8, 2026, PSG will face Liverpool. According to the 1X2 odds, PSG stands out: their victory is priced at 1.77, a draw at 4.39, and a Liverpool win at 4.51. The probabilities are distributed as follows: PSG - 55.69%, draw - 22.45%, Liverpool - 21.86%. These figures suggest PSG is the favorite, but odds on totals and both teams to score also offer interesting angles for analysis.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, PSG has shown a high ball possession rate of 66%, averages 9 fouls, receives 0.6 yellow cards, and records 2 offsides per game. Over the same period, Liverpool holds possession 55.2% of the time, commits 12 fouls, receives 2 yellow cards, and records 1.4 offsides. Recent games for PSG: April 3 - PSG vs Toulouse 3-1, March 21 - Nice vs PSG 0-4, March 17 - Chelsea vs PSG 0-3. For Liverpool: April 4 - Manchester City vs Liverpool 4-0, March 21 - Brighton vs Liverpool 2-1, March 18 - Liverpool vs Galatasaray 4-0. In their last head-to-head on March 11, 2025, Liverpool lost to PSG 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

PSG averages 4.4 goals per match over their last five games, scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.2. Liverpool averages 2.8 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: PSG has 5 out of 5 games over, Liverpool has 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times out of 5 for both teams, in the second half, PSG 3 out of 5, Liverpool 2 out of 5. By time intervals: PSG scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (33%), Liverpool between 46-60 minutes (38%). PSG concedes most often between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (23% each), Liverpool in three intervals: 16-30, 61-75, 76-90 (33% each). This profile suggests high scoring from PSG and moderate from Liverpool, but both teams regularly concede. With PSG's consistent over 2.5 goals and supporting figures from Liverpool, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.56 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

PSG averages 4.4 corners per match, Liverpool 4.2. Over the last 5 games, the over 9.5 corners occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams. The total closest to the average sum (8.6) is the 8.5 line: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.44, under 8.5 at 2.60. For corners outcome, PSG is favored at 1.48. Considering the averages, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, but there's no significant skew in the statistics.