Prediction for match PSG — Paris FC, 04.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Ligue 1 match between PSG and Paris FC on January 4, 2026, bookmakers clearly favor PSG. A PSG victory is priced at 1.21, a draw at 7.50, and a Paris FC win at 17.00. In terms of probabilities, PSG has an 81.14% chance of winning, a draw is at 13.09%, and Paris FC has a 5.77% chance. This setup underlines PSG's status as the team expected to secure a confident result in this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, PSG has maintained an average possession of 63.4%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Paris FC holds the ball for an average of 60.2% of the time, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per match. In PSG's last three matches: December 17, 2025, PSG 3-2 Flamengo, December 13, 2025, Metz 2-3 PSG, December 10, 2025, Athletic Bilbao 0-0 PSG. For Paris FC: December 20, 2025, Raon-l'Étape 0-3 Paris FC, December 13, 2025, Paris FC 0-3 Toulouse, December 7, 2025, Le Havre 0-0 Paris FC. The last head-to-head meeting was on December 16, 2022: PSG 2-1 Paris FC.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, PSG has an average total of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Paris FC has an average total of 2.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. PSG has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Paris FC has seen it in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for PSG and 3 times for Paris FC. In the second half, both teams had 2 instances of over 1.5 goals. PSG most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), while Paris FC scores most often between the 76th-90th minutes (67%). PSG concedes most often between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (50% each), and Paris FC between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each). Given that both teams average more than one goal scored and conceded, and Paris FC has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, a bet on over 3.0 total goals at 1.53 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

PSG averages 6.4 corners per game, while Paris FC averages 5. Both teams have had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. Among the available corner totals is a bet on over 11 corners at 2.57, under 11 at 1.44. In terms of corner outcomes, PSG is the favorite with odds of 1.09. Given these stats, considering a bet on over 11 corners seems reasonable, taking into account both teams' combined corner stats and frequency of surpassing the 9.5 mark.