Prediction for match PSG — Tottenham, 26.11.2025

Match Analysis: PSG vs Tottenham

In the UEFA Champions League, PSG will face Tottenham, and bookmakers clearly favor the French club: odds for PSG to win are 1.46, for a draw - 5.08, and for Tottenham's victory - 7.41. Looking at the probabilities, PSG has a 67.37% chance, a draw has 19.36%, and Tottenham has 13.27%. This reflects confidence in the hosts' strength, considering their stable performance in recent games and attacking potential. Meanwhile, a draw is not highly rated, and a Tottenham win is at significant odds. The tournament status of the match and the line-ups of both teams add interest to the upcoming clash.

Team Results and Statistics

PSG, in their last five matches, has shown a high ball possession percentage of 72.6%, indicating control over the game and the ability to impose their style on the opponent. Their averages are 2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 2 offsides. Tottenham, over the same period, shows 52% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, PSG defeated Le Havre 3-0, beat Lyon 3-2, and lost to Bayern Munich 1-2. Tottenham, in the same stretch, lost to Arsenal 1-4, played a 2-2 draw with Manchester United, and thrashed Copenhagen 4-0. The head-to-head encounter between these teams in August ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw, with the total over 2.5 goals being hit. These results confirm both sides' attacking potential and tendency for open play.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Analyzing the scoring metrics, in the last five matches, both teams hit the over 2.5 goals total 3 times out of 5. PSG averages 1.8 goals scored, conceding 1, while Tottenham scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1.8. Over a stretch of five matches, PSG has a total of 2.8 goals, and Tottenham has 3.2, indicating a high probability of a high-scoring match. By halves, PSG had 3 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the second half, and Tottenham similarly 3 out of 5. In the first half, PSG had 2 out of 5 with over 1.5 goals, Tottenham only 1 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, PSG most frequently scored between the 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Tottenham often scored late in the match - in the 76-90 minute interval (31%). Conceding goals, PSG's most vulnerable period is 31-45 minutes (33%), and for Tottenham, it's also 31-45 minutes (50%). In the last five matches, both teams hit the over 2.5 goals total three times, aligning with their average goals per match. Considering all this data, it’s logical to expect a match with at least three goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

PSG averages 7.8 corners per game, while Tottenham averages 3.4. The frequency of hitting over 9.5 corners for PSG is 4 out of 5, for Tottenham 1 out of 5. The line for this match is set at over 9.25 corners for 1.50, and under 9.25 for 2.48. In terms of corners, PSG is the favorite, with odds of 1.19 for their win. Given PSG's high activity in this component and regular over 9.5 hits in recent matches, the optimal bet seems to be on over 9.25 corners. Additionally, considering PSG's average of nearly 8 corners per game, their individual corner total could also be considered.