Tips for match Parma — Bologna, 02.11.2025

Match Analysis: Parma vs Bologna

The Italian Serie A continues to thrill with exciting matchups, and this time it's Parma against Bologna. The odds highlight Bologna as the favorite: an away win is priced at 2.05, a draw at 3.00, and a victory for Parma at 4.20. The 1X2 probabilities are distributed as follows: Parma win 22.48%, draw 31.47%, Bologna win 46.05%. These figures reflect Bologna's advantage according to the bookmakers, as well as a high percentage for a draw, indicating the cautious approach both teams have shown recently. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.53, while over 2.5 goals are 2.50, suggesting expectations of a low-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

Parma shows modest possession stats, averaging 40.2% over their last five matches, along with 2.4 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Bologna, on the other hand, boasts 60.6% possession, receives 3 warnings, commits 17.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Parma played as follows: 29.10.2025 Roma 2-1 Parma, 25.10.2025 Parma 0-0 Como, 19.10.2025 Genoa 0-0 Parma. Bologna's last three games were: 29.10.2025 Bologna 0-0 Torino, 26.10.2025 Fiorentina 2-2 Bologna, 23.10.2025 FCSB 1-2 Bologna. Their head-to-head on 22.02.2025 ended with Parma winning 2-0, with over 2.5 goals being scored. Other recent encounters between these teams have been both high and low-scoring, making their rivalry quite unpredictable.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Parma's average goal tally is 1.4 per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8. Bologna's average total is 2.6, with the visitors scoring 2 and conceding 0.6 per match. For over 2.5 goals: Parma has 2 out of 5, Bologna 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals never occurred for Parma, while Bologna had it 2 out of 5. In the second half, Parma hit over 1.5 goals 2 out of 5, Bologna 1 out of 5. Parma most frequently scores between 61-75 (40%) and 76-90 (40%), conceding between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 (33% each). Bologna scores most frequently between 31-45 and 46-60 (29% each), conceding in the first 15 minutes (33%). Given this data, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical: Parma's low scoring and Bologna's solid defense are backed by both averages and goal frequencies. Both teams also tend to start cautiously, as seen by the low scoring in the first halves.

Corner Totals Analysis

When it comes to corners, Bologna significantly outperforms their opponent: their average in the last five matches is 5.6, compared to Parma's 2.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners in 5 matches is 2 times for each team. In corner totals odds: over 8.5 is at 1.73, under 9 is at 1.80, under 8.5 and over 9 both at 2.00. Bologna is favored to win the corner count at odds of 1.67. Based on this data, betting on Bologna to win the corner count or on the total over 8.5 seems reasonable, considering the visitors' attacking style and high performance in this aspect. Parma is unlikely to challenge in this regard, given their recent stats.