Prediction for match Parma — Cagliari

Match Analysis: Parma vs Cagliari

In Serie A on February 27, Parma will face Cagliari. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Parma is at 2.58, a draw is priced at 2.97, and a victory for Cagliari is at 3.44. In terms of probability, Parma has a 38.19% chance of winning, the draw is at 33.17%, and Cagliari has a 28.64% chance. These figures suggest that Parma is viewed as a moderate favorite, but the gap between the teams is not very large. The betting line also offers options on totals and individual performances, indicating a potentially tight contest with opportunities for various betting strategies.

Team Results and Statistics

Parma has won two of their last three matches: on February 22, they defeated Milan 1-0, on February 15, they overcame Verona 2-1, and on February 8, they beat Bologna 1-0. Cagliari, in their last three games, drew 0-0 with Lazio on February 21, lost 0-2 to Lecce on February 16, and were defeated 0-2 by Roma on February 9. On average, over the last five games, Parma maintains 49.8% ball possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per match. Cagliari, in the same period, shows 48% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In head-to-head encounters, the last match took place on September 13, 2025, when Cagliari won 2-0 against Parma. These stats highlight that both teams are capable of putting up a fight and are evenly matched in terms of intensity.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Parma has an average total of 2.8 goals per match, scoring 1 goal per game and conceding 1.8. Cagliari averages 2.2 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. Of the last five games, Parma has seen the over 2.5 goals line surpassed in 3 matches, while Cagliari has done so in 2. For the first half, Parma had 3 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, and in the second half, 2 out of 5 exceeded 1.5 goals. Cagliari had only 1 out of 5 first halves with multiple goals, but 3 out of 5 second halves with two or more goals. Parma often scores in the 0-15 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), while conceding most frequently between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Cagliari scores most often in the 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), conceding evenly throughout the second half (25% each). Based on this data, the match is unlikely to be highly prolific, but goals are expected in both halves, especially towards the end. A bet on under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.58 and seems logical, considering the average goal stats and frequency of under 2.5 in both teams' recent games.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Parma averages 6.6 corners per match, while Cagliari averages 4.2. In the last five games, both teams had two matches exceeding the 9.5 corner total and three below. Considering the total corners, the sum of their averages (6.6 + 4.2) is 10.8, close to the 10.5 line. Odds for over 10.5 corners are at 2.64, while under 10.5 is at 1.40. Parma is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.66. Given the average activity of both teams, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems justified for those who enjoy riskier options, but the under 10.5 also has merit, considering the frequency of under results in recent matches.