Prediction for match Parma — Fiorentina, 27.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Serie A on December 27, 2025, Parma will face Fiorentina. According to the 1X2 odds, Fiorentina is favored to win at 2.38, a draw is priced at 3.22, and a victory for Parma is at 3.53. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Fiorentina 41.44%, draw 30.63%, Parma 27.94%. Fiorentina is the favorite, but the difference in chances isn't overwhelming. Key odds for totals: Over 2.5 goals at 2.29, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73. Both teams to score: Yes at 1.87, No at 1.85. For individual team totals, Parma over 1 goal is at 2.05, Fiorentina over 1.5 goals is at 2.40.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Parma's results are: December 13 - Parma vs Lazio 0-1, December 8 - Pisa vs Parma 0-1, December 4 - Bologna vs Parma 2-1. Fiorentina's results in the same period: December 21 - Fiorentina vs Udinese 5-1, December 18 - Lausanne vs Fiorentina 1-0, December 14 - Fiorentina vs Verona 1-2. In their last head-to-head on April 13, 2025, Fiorentina and Parma ended 0-0. Secondary statistics show Parma's possession over five games is 41.4%, with an average of 2 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Fiorentina's possession is 56.8%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. These figures indicate Fiorentina plays more aggressively and controls the ball more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Parma's average number of goals in matches over five games is 2, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Fiorentina's average total is 3.4, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Parma has 2 out of 5, Fiorentina 4 out of 5. In the first half, Parma had 2 or more goals in 1 out of 5 matches, Fiorentina in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Parma had over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5, Fiorentina in 3 out of 5. Parma scores most frequently in the 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each) and concedes most in the 0-15 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each). Fiorentina scores most often from the 61st to the 75th minute (33%) and concedes evenly across all intervals, at 20%. These data confirm that Fiorentina plays a more attacking style, while Parma is more cautious. Considering Fiorentina's 4 out of 5 over 2.5 goals, their average scoring, and the over 2.0 goals odds at 1.63, a bet on over 2.0 goals seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Parma averages 2.8 corners over their last five matches, Fiorentina 4.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corner totals: Parma 2 out of 5, Fiorentina 3 out of 5. The total closest to the average number of corners is 8.5: for over 8.5 corners, the odds are 1.70, under 8.5 is 2.07. Fiorentina is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.82. Given the statistics of both teams, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 corners, as both teams can create chances near the opponent's goal, and Fiorentina often plays actively on the wings.