Prediction for match Pau — Guingamp

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Guingamp is set for 17.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Guingamp is the favorite with odds of 2.26, translating to a 41.46% chance of winning. Pau has odds of 2.95 (31.76%), while a draw is priced at 3.50 with a 26.77% probability. This suggests that Guingamp has a slight edge according to the bookmakers, but Pau is not a clear underdog. The probabilities indicate a potentially tight match, with the gap between the teams not as significant as in games with a clear favorite. Paying attention to statistical details and current form could be crucial when placing a bet on this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five games, Pau averaged 51.2% ball possession, received 2 yellow cards, committed 12.8 fouls, and had 1.2 offsides per game. Guingamp had higher possession at 61%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Pau's last three matches: 10.04.2026 Amiens - Pau 0-1, 06.04.2026 Le Mans - Pau 4-0, 20.03.2026 Pau - Montpellier 0-0. Guingamp's recent results: 10.04.2026 Guingamp - Grenoble 1-1, 03.04.2026 Annecy - Guingamp 1-0, 21.03.2026 Guingamp - Reims 0-2. Their last head-to-head on 08.11.2025 ended in a 2-2 draw. These results indicate that both teams don't consistently secure points, and their encounters can be both productive and unpredictable. It's also noteworthy that Guingamp has a slight edge in discipline and ball control, but Pau is capable of putting up a fight even away from home.

Match Goals Statistics

In their last five-game series, both teams averaged exactly 2 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 goals on average. Pau had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Guingamp had only 1 out of 5. For first-half over 1.5 goals, Pau succeeded 3 times, Guingamp none. For second-half over 1.5 goals, Pau succeeded once, Guingamp twice. Pau most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (43%), whereas Guingamp scores most between the 61st and 75th minute (33%). Pau concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (50%), while Guingamp is most vulnerable between the 61st and 75th minute (40%). These figures suggest that both teams are not highly prolific, and the averages indicate a low-scoring nature of their matches. A bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified, given both teams' low scoring rates and the fact that their average total goals in the last five matches did not exceed 2. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 2.21.

Corner Bets

In terms of corners, Pau averages 3 per game over their last 5 matches, while Guingamp averages 5.8. For total corners over 9.5, Pau succeeded only once in 5 matches, but Guingamp did so 4 times. The total closest to their average (8.8) is 8.5: odds for over 8.5 are 1.66, and the same for under 8.5. There's also a line for 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is at 2.09, under 9.5 at 1.66. Guingamp is favored in corner bets with odds of 1.99. Considering Guingamp's consistent higher corner count, betting on their individual corner total or a total over 8.5 seems logical. Meanwhile, Pau's low corner count could favor combined bets related to Guingamp's advantage in this aspect.