Prediction for match Pau — Montpellier

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On March 20, 2026, Pau will face Montpellier in Ligue 2. The odds for a Pau victory are set at 2.58, while a win for Montpellier is at 2.60, and a draw is priced at 3.34. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Pau - 36.17%, Draw - 27.94%, Montpellier - 35.89%. Based on these figures, the teams are evenly matched with no clear favorite. The betting line also offers options on total goals, both teams to score, and individual performance, allowing for an interesting prediction on productivity.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Pau has been gaining momentum: a 1-0 victory over Clermont Foot, a 2-2 draw with Bastia, a 0-3 loss to Saint-Étienne, a high-scoring 3-4 game against Troyes, and a 1-2 defeat to Boulogne. Montpellier, on the other hand, defeated Laval 2-0, thrashed Nancy 3-0, drew 0-0 with Reims, lost 0-1 to Rodez, and comfortably overcame Le Mans 4-2. In their head-to-head match on December 6, 2025, Pau defeated Montpellier 1-0. In terms of ball possession, Pau averages 48.2%, while Montpellier holds 53.8%. Pau receives 2 yellow cards per game, Montpellier 1.2. Pau commits 14.4 fouls, while Montpellier commits 17.8. Pau has 1.6 offsides, and Montpellier has 2.8. These statistics reflect the playing styles of both teams and could influence the match dynamics.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Pau vs Montpellier Match

In a series of five matches, Pau has an average total of 3.6 goals, while Montpellier has 2.4. Based on recent games, Pau scores 1.4 and concedes 2.2, while Montpellier scores 1.8 and concedes just 0.6. Pau has played over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, Montpellier in 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Pau has 3 out of 5, Montpellier 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the second half, both Pau and Montpellier have 3 out of 5. Pau most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), while Montpellier scores late, between 76-90 minutes (43%). Pau is vulnerable to conceding between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), whereas Montpellier most often concedes between 76-90 minutes (60%). Under these conditions, a bet on both teams to score seems justified: Pau consistently scores but also concedes, and Montpellier is highly productive with a solid defense, though both teams can score in different halves. The odds for both teams to score: yes - 1.59.

Analysis of Total Corners

On average, Pau earns 3.2 corners per game, while Montpellier earns 4.6. In the last five matches, Pau hasn't surpassed the total corners line of over 9.5, while Montpellier has done so in 3 out of 5. Among the available totals, the closest to the sum of the averages (7.8) are lines of 7.5, 8, and 8.5. For a total of 8.5 corners, there are two outcomes: over 8.5 is at 1.52, under 8.5 at 2.37. Pau is favored on corners with odds of 1.83. Considering Montpellier often plays for higher corner totals and Pau for lower, betting on over 8.5 total corners seems reasonable. Individual corner performance for Montpellier, who consistently delivers more than four per game, can also be considered.