Prediction for match Pau — Rodez, 03.01.2026

Match Analysis: Pau vs Rodez

In the Ligue 2 of France, a match between Pau and Rodez is scheduled for January 3, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Pau is priced at 2.19, for Rodez at 3.13, and a draw at 3.44. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Pau - 42.80%, draw - 27.25%, Rodez - 29.95%. Based on these figures, Pau appears to be the favorite, but the difference is not significant, promising a closely contested match. The odds for total goals are also intriguing: Over 2.5 is at 1.70, and Both Teams to Score: Yes is at 1.55.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Pau played as follows: on December 12, 2025, Pau lost to Amiens 1-2, on December 6, Pau defeated Montpellier 1-0, and on November 21, Pau lost to Le Mans 1-2. Rodez's last three matches were: on December 12, 2025, Rodez beat Guingamp 2-1, on December 6, they drew with Troyes 1-1, and on November 21, they drew with Dunkerque 1-1. In their head-to-head on September 26, 2025, Rodez lost to Pau 1-2. On average over five matches, Pau holds 55.2% possession, commits 16.6 fouls, 0.8 offsides, and receives 3.8 yellow cards. Rodez has 37.4% possession, 15.2 fouls, 1.4 offsides, and 2.2 yellow cards per game. These stats indicate Pau's higher activity in ball control and aggression.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Pau has an average total of 2.6 goals per match, while Rodez has 2.4. Pau scores an average of 1.2, Rodez 1, with both teams conceding 1.4 per game. Regarding Over 2.5 goals: Pau has 3 out of 5 matches over, Rodez has 2 out of 5 over. In the first half, Over 1.5 was achieved 2 times by Pau and 2 times by Rodez, in the second half, Pau only once, Rodez 3 times. Pau most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (40%), Rodez in the 46-60 (38%). Pau concedes most often between 16-30 minutes (38%), Rodez in the 61-75 interval (40%). Overall, both teams regularly score and concede, and Pau's frequency of Over 2.5 is higher than Rodez's. Both Teams to Score: Yes seems a logical choice, given the average goals scored and conceded, as well as the passage of totals and goal distribution by halves. The odds for both teams to score: yes is 1.55.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Pau averages 6 corners per game, Rodez 5.2. Over the five-match period, Pau had Over 9.5 corners 3 out of 5 times, Rodez 5 out of 5. In the corner totals market, the closest to the sum of average values (11.2) is the total of 11.5: Over 11.5 is at 2.53, Under 11.5 at 1.42. In the corner outcome, Pau is favored with odds of 1.68. Considering both teams' corner stats and the frequency of Over 9.5 totals, a bet on Over 11.5 corners seems justified for risk-oriented players, but for a more conservative approach, consider Over 9.5, which has often occurred for both teams.