Prediction for match Pau — Saint Etienne

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In France's Ligue 2 on February 28, Pau will face Saint Etienne. Bookmakers favor Saint Etienne: their win is priced at 2.31, Pau's win is at 2.91, and a draw is at 3.44. According to probabilities: Pau - 32.20%, draw - 27.24%, Saint Etienne - 40.56%. Among additional markets, the bet on both teams to score: yes is priced at 1.50, reflecting the expectation of a goal-filled game from both sides. Total goals options: over 2.5 goals is at 1.62, under 2.5 goals is at 2.25. For both teams to score: no, the odds are 2.42. This setup suggests that bookmakers lean towards an exchange of goals but do not rule out a scenario with a clean sheet.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Pau shows an average possession of 49.2%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Saint Etienne, in the same period, has an average possession of 53.6%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 13.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times. In Pau's last three matches: February 21, 2026, Troyes - Pau 4-3, February 13, 2026, Pau - Boulogne 1-2, February 6, 2026, Red Star - Pau 0-3. Saint Etienne played as follows: February 21, 2026, Saint Etienne - Laval 2-1, February 14, 2026, Guingamp - Saint Etienne 1-2, February 7, 2026, Saint Etienne - Montpellier 1-0. In their last head-to-head on October 28, 2025, Saint Etienne thrashed Pau 6-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the five-match scoring series, Pau scores an average of 2 goals and concedes 1.6, while Saint Etienne scores 1 and concedes 0.8. Total goals: Pau had 4 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals, Saint Etienne had 2 out of 5. Pau's average total goals is 3.6, Saint Etienne's is 1.8. By halves, Pau had only 1 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals in the first half, but 4 out of 5 in the second half. Saint Etienne had no matches with over 1.5 goals in the second half, but 2 out of 5 in the first half were productive. By intervals, Pau most frequently scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (43% each), while Saint Etienne distributes goals evenly across all periods, 20% in each of the five intervals. Pau concedes most often at the end (76-90 minutes - 36%), while Saint Etienne concedes early (0-15 minutes - 75%). Given that both teams regularly score and concede, the bet on both teams to score: yes at odds of 1.50 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Pau takes 3.8 corners over 5 matches, Saint Etienne - 4. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Pau had 2 out of 5 matches over, Saint Etienne had 1 out of 5. Among corner totals, the closest to the average sum (7.8) is the line 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.51, under 8.5 is at 2.29. In the outcome for corners, Pau is favored with odds of 1.95. In this situation, considering the total corners over 8.5 is logical, given that both teams average just under 8 corners per game, and higher totals were recorded in several matches.