Prediction for match Zwolle — Ajax

Match Analysis: Zwolle vs Ajax

On March 1st, in the Dutch Eredivisie, Zwolle will face Ajax. The odds for the 1X2 outcome are as follows: a Zwolle win is priced at 4.22, a draw at 4.06, and an Ajax win at 1.79. In terms of probabilities: Ajax has a 53.62% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.64%, and Zwolle has a 22.74% chance. Ajax stands out as the favorite, but the scoring statistics and goal totals for both teams indicate a high probability of goals from both sides. The betting line also offers options on totals, both teams to score, and individual performance, allowing for an optimal bet selection for the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five games, Zwolle averaged 54.4% possession, received 1 yellow card, committed 12.8 fouls, and had 1.8 offsides per match. During the same period, Ajax showed 56.2% possession, 0.2 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Zwolle played as follows: 22.02.2026 - Utrecht vs Zwolle - 1-1, 15.02.2026 - Heerenveen vs Zwolle - 4-2, 07.02.2026 - Zwolle vs Volendam - 1-2. Ajax's last three matches: 21.02.2026 - Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen - 1-1, 14.02.2026 - Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard - 4-1, 08.02.2026 - AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax - 1-1. In the head-to-head on 13.09.2025, Ajax defeated Zwolle 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Zwolle's average total goals per game was 3.8, while Ajax's was 3.2. Both teams score an average of 1.8 goals per game, but Zwolle concedes 2, and Ajax 1.4. For the over 2.5 goals market: Zwolle hit in 4 out of 5, Ajax in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for Zwolle, 2 times for Ajax, and in the second half, 2 and 3 times respectively. Goal intervals: Zwolle most frequently scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), and concedes early (0-15 minutes - 29%) and late (76-90 minutes - 29%). Ajax frequently scores in the 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (22% each), and concedes at the end of the first and start of the second half, as well as in the last 15 minutes (29% each). This statistics suggest a high probability of a high-scoring match, with both teams likely to score, and the total goals could exceed 2.5. The bet for both teams to score: yes is priced at 1.50, supported by the regular scoring of both teams and their opponents in recent matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

Zwolle averages 5.4 corners per match, Ajax - 4. For the over 9.5 corners market: Zwolle has hit 4 out of 5, Ajax 1 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, there's a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.74, under 9.5 at 1.95. Ajax is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.52. Based on the average values and Zwolle's frequency of hitting the mark, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially considering both teams' attacking style and Zwolle's frequent corners.