Prediction for match Zwolle — AZ Alkmaar, 17.01.2026

Match Analysis: Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar

On January 17, in the Dutch Eredivisie, Zwolle will face AZ Alkmaar. According to the 1X2 odds, AZ Alkmaar is the favorite with odds of 1.62, which corresponds to a 59.35% probability. A draw is priced at 4.38 (21.95%), and a victory for Zwolle is at 5.14 (18.70%). This reflects the difference in current form and team performance. Besides the main outcome, the markets for total goals and both teams to score are also attractive for betting. Recent encounters between these teams have also been high-scoring, adding interest to goal-related bets.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Zwolle has averaged 42% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. AZ Alkmaar averages 57.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. Zwolle's last three matches: 10.01.2026 - Twente vs Zwolle 1-1, 20.12.2025 - Excelsior vs Zwolle 2-1, 13.12.2025 - Zwolle vs Fortuna Sittard 1-0. AZ Alkmaar's last three games: 14.01.2026 - AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax 6-0, 10.01.2026 - AZ Alkmaar vs Volendam 1-0, 21.12.2025 - Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar 4-3. In their last head-to-head on December 3, 2025, Zwolle lost to AZ Alkmaar 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five games, both teams have an average total of 3.4 goals per match. Zwolle scores 1 goal and concedes 2.4, while AZ Alkmaar scores 2.6 and concedes 0.8. Regarding over 2.5 goals: both teams have had 3 out of 5 matches go over, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. In the first half, Zwolle has only 1 out of 5 games over 1.5, while AZ Alkmaar has 2 out of 5. However, in the second half, Zwolle has had over 1.5 in 4 out of 5 matches, and AZ Alkmaar in 3 out of 5. Zwolle most frequently scores between the 31-45 and 76-90 minute marks (27% each), and concedes mostly at the end (76-90 minutes - 50%). AZ Alkmaar scores most often in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (27% each), and concedes in the 16-30 minute segment (43%). Considering the high average scoring, over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, a bet on both teams to score seems justified. Odds for both teams to score: yes - 1.55.

Corners in the Match

On average, over the last 5 matches, Zwolle has 2.2 corners per game, while AZ Alkmaar has 6.6. For over 9.5 total corners: Zwolle has 2 out of 5 over, AZ Alkmaar has 3 out of 5. The line closest to their combined average (8.8) is 8.5. Odds for total corners over 8.5 are 1.43, under 8.5 are 2.50. In the corners market, AZ Alkmaar is favored with odds of 1.36. Given AZ Alkmaar's consistent corner-taking, a bet on their individual total corners or over 8.5 total corners seems logical.