Prediction for match Zwolle — Excelsior

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Dutch Eredivisie on April 12, Zwolle will face Excelsior. According to the 1X2 odds, Zwolle's win is priced at 2.16, Excelsior's victory is at 3.13, and a draw is at 3.85. The probabilities for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Zwolle win at 44.42%, draw at 24.92%, and Excelsior win at 30.66%. Among additional options, the bet on both teams to score: yes is at 1.51, reflecting a certain balance in the attacking capabilities of both teams. The over/under goal totals are also quite close: over 2.5 goals is at 1.64, and under 2.5 goals is at 2.31. This indicates that bookmakers expect a high-scoring game, but do not rule out a more restrained scenario.

Recent Matches Review

In their last three matches, Zwolle lost 0-5 to Go Ahead Eagles on April 5, won 2-1 against NAC Breda on March 21, and drew 1-1 with Groningen on March 13. Excelsior, in their last three games, lost 0-2 to NEC Nijmegen on April 4, drew 1-1 with Heracles on March 20, and lost 1-2 to Feyenoord on March 15. In their last head-to-head meeting on December 20, 2025, Excelsior defeated Zwolle 2-1. Looking at the average statistics over a five-match period, Zwolle holds possession for 46.4% of the time, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times per game. Excelsior has slightly more possession at 51%, receives 0.8 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per match. These figures show that the teams are not prone to excessive roughness, with Excelsior being slightly more disciplined in defense.

Goal Scoring Trends

In terms of scoring over the last five matches, Zwolle has an average total of 2.4 goals per game, while Excelsior averages 2.2. Zwolle scores an average of 0.8 goals per match, Excelsior 0.6, with both teams conceding 1.6. For matches going over 2.5 goals: both teams have had this outcome 2 times out of 5, and under 3 times out of 5. In the first half, Zwolle has gone over 1.5 goals 2 times, while Excelsior has not done so in 5 games. In the second half, Zwolle has gone over 1.5 goals 3 out of 5 times, Excelsior 2 out of 5. Regarding goal timing: Zwolle most often scores between 0-15 minutes (33%), while Excelsior scores between 46-60 minutes (50%). In terms of conceding: Zwolle most often concedes late in the game (76-90 minutes, 67%), while Excelsior concedes across three intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (29% each). Despite not having the highest average scoring, both teams have moments of attacking activity, and the total goals in their matches rarely drop below two. Considering both teams to score: yes is at 1.51, and both teams have periods of activity, a bet on both teams scoring seems justified.

Corner Bets

Zwolle averages 6.4 corners per match, Excelsior 4. For matches with over 9.5 corners: Zwolle has had this outcome in 3 of 5 matches, Excelsior in 2 of 5. The total corners line closest to the average sum (10.4) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is at 2.11, under 10.5 is at 1.60. For corner outcomes, Zwolle is favored with odds of 1.83. Overall, considering Zwolle's high average corner numbers, betting on over 10.5 corners, as well as looking at Zwolle's individual corner stats, can be considered.