Prediction for match Zwolle — Heerenveen, 28.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Eredivisie on November 28, 2025, Zwolle will face Heerenveen. According to bookmakers, Heerenveen is the favorite, with odds of 2.03 for their win, 3.50 for Zwolle's victory, and 3.80 for a draw. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Heerenveen 47.30%, Zwolle 27.43%, draw 25.27%. These figures indicate that Heerenveen is receiving the most backing and is seen as the more likely winner. Both teams have been inconsistent this season, but the odds and probabilities highlight Heerenveen as the likely victor.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Zwolle has an average possession of 41.8%, receiving 1.8 yellow cards, committing 9.2 fouls, and being caught offside 2.2 times per game. Heerenveen, on the other hand, has a higher possession at 53%, with 1 yellow card, 11 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Zwolle's last three games were: 23.11.2025 Groningen 2-2 Zwolle, 08.11.2025 Zwolle 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam, 02.11.2025 Heracles 8-2 Zwolle. Heerenveen's results were: 23.11.2025 Heerenveen 3-1 AZ Alkmaar, 08.11.2025 Fortuna Sittard 2-0 Heerenveen, 01.11.2025 Ajax 1-1 Heerenveen. In their last head-to-head on 09.10.2025, Heerenveen beat Zwolle 4-1, with the total over 2.5 goals. Overall, both teams have mixed results, but Heerenveen tends to achieve the desired outcomes more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Zwolle's games have averaged 4.8 total goals, while Heerenveen's averaged 3.4. Zwolle scores 2.2 and concedes 2.6, whereas Heerenveen scores 2 and concedes 1.4. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of Zwolle's matches and 3 of Heerenveen's. For the first half, Zwolle had over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, and the same for the second half. Heerenveen had over 1.5 goals only once in the first half but 4 times in the second half. Zwolle most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (36%), and Heerenveen in the same interval (44%). In terms of goals conceded, Zwolle is most vulnerable in the first 15 minutes (30%), while Heerenveen is between 46-75 minutes (38% in each interval). Given Zwolle's high-scoring games and Heerenveen's decent attacking form, along with frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes for both teams and a tendency for more goals in the second half, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.60 seems logical.

Corners in the Match

Zwolle averages 2.8 corners per match, while Heerenveen averages 5.6. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred only once for both teams. The odds for total corners are 1.84 for over 9.5 and also 1.84 for under 9.5. Heerenveen is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.62. Given the difference in average corners between the teams, betting on Heerenveen's individual total corners over 5 seems logical, although recent matches do not confirm high corner counts. Overall, a moderate number of corners is expected, with a slight edge to Heerenveen.