Prediction for match Pisa — Atalanta, 16.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on January 16, Pisa will face Atalanta. Odds for an Atalanta win are 1.68, which corresponds to a 58.67% probability. A draw is priced at 3.99 with a 24.70% chance, while Pisa's victory is at 5.93, rated at 16.62%. These odds reflect Atalanta's status as the clear favorite, considering the difference in recent results and statistics. However, despite Pisa's low chances, a draw is not out of the question, as confirmed by nearly a quarter of the probability according to the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Pisa has managed only three draws and two losses: on January 10, they drew 2-2 with Udinese, lost 0-3 to Como on January 6, and drew 1-1 with Genoa on January 3. Prior to that, they lost 0-2 to Juventus and drew 2-2 with Cagliari. Atalanta, on the other hand, has won four of their last five matches: they beat Torino 2-0 on January 10, Bologna 2-0 on January 7, Roma 1-0 on January 3, lost 0-1 to Inter on December 28, and defeated Genoa 1-0 on December 21. In their head-to-head meeting on August 24, 2025, the teams drew 1-1. Additional statistics show Pisa's average ball possession at 38.6%, with an average of 3 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Atalanta averages 53% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides over the last five matches.

Goals and Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Pisa shows average scoring: over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches, with an average of exactly 3 goals per match. Pisa scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 2. Atalanta's situation is different: over 2.5 goals were never scored in their last five matches, with an average of only 1.4 goals per match. Atalanta scores 1.2 and concedes just 0.2 per game. For Pisa, over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 2 out of 5 times, and in the second half 3 out of 5 times. For Atalanta, both halves were low-scoring: never over 1.5 goals in either half. Pisa distributes goals evenly across all periods, with 17% in each of the six intervals. Atalanta scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (67%). Pisa concedes most in the final minutes (76-90 minute, 40%), while Atalanta concedes evenly from the 31st to the 90th minute (25% in each interval). Considering Atalanta's low scoring and strong defense, and Pisa's average goal count not exceeding 3, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.94 seems a logical choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Pisa averages 5 corners per match, while Atalanta averages 6.4. Over their last five matches, Pisa's total corners exceeded 9.5 twice, and Atalanta's four times. The nearest total with odds for both over and under is 9.5: odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.00, and under is 1.75. Atalanta is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.42. Both teams are capable of creating chances, especially Atalanta, as confirmed by their average. Considering the high activity of both teams in this metric, betting on over 9.5 corners is reasonable.