Prediction for match Pisa — Sassuolo, 31.01.2026

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In Serie A on January 31, Pisa will face Sassuolo. The odds for a Sassuolo victory are 2.66, for Pisa's success 3.10, and a draw is at 3.15. The estimated probabilities are: Pisa - 31.75%, draw - 31.25%, Sassuolo - 37.00%. Although Sassuolo is slightly favored by the odds, the match promises to be challenging for both teams, given the close percentages and lack of clear advantage. This scenario suggests that bookmakers anticipate a tough contest and do not rule out any of the three outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Pisa lost to Inter 2-6 on January 23, drew 1-1 with Atalanta on January 16, and tied 2-2 with Udinese on January 10. During the same period, Sassuolo defeated Cremonese 1-0 (January 25), lost to Napoli 0-1 (January 17), and was beaten by Roma 0-2 (January 10). In their head-to-head clash on November 24, 2025, the teams drew 2-2. Over a five-match span, Pisa's possession rate is 37.6%, with an average of 2.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Sassuolo has higher possession at 45%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 2 offsides. These figures indicate that Pisa plays more aggressively and commits more fouls, while Sassuolo prefers ball control and more disciplined defense.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Pisa shows high-scoring results: the average total goals in their matches is 3.8, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.6. Sassuolo's figures are more modest: a total of 1.8, scoring 0.4, and conceding 1.4. Pisa has over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Sassuolo only in 1 out of 5. In the first half, Pisa has over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Sassuolo in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Pisa has over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, Sassuolo in 2 out of 5. Pisa most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (45%) and concedes in the same interval 33%. Sassuolo scores most often in the first 15 minutes (60%) and concedes between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (50% each). This profile suggests that Pisa's matches are high-scoring, while Sassuolo's are low-scoring. However, considering Pisa's three out of five recent matches ended with over 2.5 goals, and Sassuolo only one, it is more logical to consider under 2.5 goals as the main option. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.71.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last five matches, Pisa averages 6.4 corners, Sassuolo 3.6. For totals over 9.5 corners, Pisa has 3 out of 5 matches, Sassuolo 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the average sum (10) is the 9.5 line: over 9.5 corners is at 2.15, under 9.5 at 1.62. Pisa is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.92. Based on this data, the match is expected to be rich in wing play, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering Pisa's activity in this aspect.