Prediction for match Pogon Szczecin — Legia Warszawa

Match Analysis: Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa

The Ekstraklasa continues to deliver intriguing clashes, and this time Pogon Szczecin takes on Legia Warszawa. In the 1X2 market, a win for Pogon Szczecin is priced at 2.64, a draw at 3.44, and a victory for Legia Warszawa at 2.44. The probability distribution is as follows: 35.09% for a Pogon Szczecin win, 26.93% for a draw, and 37.97% for a Legia Warszawa win. The odds suggest a closely contested match, with a slight edge in probability for Legia Warszawa.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Pogon Szczecin averaged 50.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Over the same period, Legia Warszawa averaged 44.6% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 16.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. In their last three games, Pogon Szczecin lost to Lechia Gdansk 1-2 (21.03.2026), defeated Korona Kielce 2-1 (16.03.2026), and lost to Rakow 0-2 (08.03.2026). Legia Warszawa drew with Rakow 1-1 (22.03.2026), also drew with Radomiak Radom 1-1 (13.03.2026), and beat Cracovia 1-0 (08.03.2026). The last head-to-head between these teams was on 30.10.2025, which ended with a 2-1 victory for Pogon Szczecin over Legia Warszawa.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Pogon Szczecin has an average total of 2 goals per game, while Legia Warszawa averages 2.4. Pogon scores 1 goal per match, with Legia averaging 1.4 goals, and both concede 1 goal per game. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of their last 5 matches, equating to 40%. The line for over 1.5 goals is at 1.19, while over 2.25 goals is priced at 1.53, which looks promising for the main prediction. In the first half, Pogon Szczecin had only 1 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, while Legia Warszawa had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals. Pogon Szczecin tends to score in three different intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes, each at 29%. Legia Warszawa is most prolific in the 16-30 minute range (43%). In terms of goals conceded, Pogon Szczecin splits 33% across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes, while Legia Warszawa concedes most frequently in the first 15 minutes (40%). Overall, both teams are capable of scoring, the average goal figures are decent, and over 2.25 goals seems justified based on current trends.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Both teams average the same number of corners, with 5.2 per match in their last five games. Pogon Szczecin has seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, and Legia Warszawa in 3 out of 5. The line for total corners at 9.5 offers both options: over 9.5 at 1.57 and under 9.5 at 2.16. Legia Warszawa is the favorite for corners with odds of 2.07. Considering the average corner activity and the frequency of surpassing the 9.5 line, betting on over 9.5 corners looks reasonable for this match. Individual corner totals for both teams could also be considered, as both consistently deliver more than 5 corners per game.