Prediction for match Poland — Netherlands, 14.11.2025

Who is the favorite in the Poland vs Netherlands match?

The Poland vs Netherlands match, part of the European World Cup Qualifiers, is scheduled for November 14, 2025. Bookmakers have marked the Netherlands as the favorites in this clash: their victory is priced at odds of 1.67, a draw at 3.90, and a win for Poland at 4.75. In percentage terms, the outcome stands at 56.19% for a Netherlands win, 24.06% for a draw, and 19.75% for a Poland win. The odds and probability clearly favor the visitors, which is also reflected in other statistical indicators.

How did they perform in previous matches?

Over the last five matches, Poland has had an average possession of 46.6%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1 offside per game. The Netherlands, on the other hand, shows a much higher possession rate of 68.8%, with less aggression: 0.6 yellow cards and 9.4 fouls, but with an average of 2.8 offsides. In their last three encounters, Poland defeated Lithuania 2-0 (October 12, 2025), overcame Finland 3-1 (September 7, 2025), and drew with the Netherlands 1-1 (September 4, 2025). During the same period, the Netherlands thrashed Finland 4-0 (October 12, 2025), Malta 4-0 (October 9, 2025), and edged Lithuania 3-2 (September 7, 2025). In their head-to-head match on September 4, 2025, the teams drew 1-1, with the total not exceeding 2.5 goals. Their recent history also includes matches with scores of 1-2, 0-2, and 2-2, often featuring high scores.

How many goals will be scored in the Poland vs Netherlands match?

According to the total goals statistics, Poland's last five games saw over 2.5 goals twice, and under 2.5 goals three times. For the Netherlands, over 2.5 goals occurred four times in the same period, and under once. By halves, Poland had more than 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five matches, and twice in the second half. The Netherlands had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times, and twice in the second half. On average, Poland scores 1.8 goals and concedes 0.8, while the Netherlands scores 4 and concedes 0.6. The overall average total for five games is 2.6 for Poland and 4.6 for the Netherlands. Poland most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (38%), while the Netherlands also scores in the 16-30 minute interval (27%) and towards the end from the 76th to 90th minute (27%). Among conceded goals, Poland is most vulnerable between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each), and the Netherlands concedes 25% of goals in the 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals. Considering the Netherlands' high scoring rate, their four out of five over 2.5 totals, and both teams' decent average goal stats, betting on over 2.5 goals seems optimal.

Corner bets

In their last five matches, Poland averages 5.8 corners, while the Netherlands has a notably higher average of 7.6. For the total over 9.5 corners, Poland has surpassed this in 3 out of 5 matches, and the Netherlands in 2 out of 5. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.67. The Netherlands is favored for the outcome on corners with odds of 1.50. Based on both teams' statistics, it makes sense to consider the option of over 9.5 corners, given their attacking style and high average delivery rates.