Prediction for match Ponte Preta — Ceara

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie B, Ponte Preta will face Ceara on April 2. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Ceara is priced at 2.09, a draw at 3.02, and a victory for Ponte Preta at 3.80. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Ceara - 44.60%, draw - 30.87%, Ponte Preta - 24.53%. Ceara stands out as the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and the probability percentages. These figures reflect the balance of power before the kickoff and set the tone for analyzing other markets.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Ponte Preta suffered defeats: on 22.03.2026 against Athletic 2-1, on 18.03.2026 against Atletico Goianiense 1-0, and on 15.02.2026 against Sao Paulo 1-2. Ceara's last three results were: on 21.03.2026 a 1-1 draw with Sao Bernardo, on 17.03.2026 a 3-2 win over Sao Bernardo, and on 07.12.2025 a 1-3 loss to Palmeiras. On average over the last five matches, Ponte Preta has 44% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and records 0.4 offsides per game. Ceara averages 43.2% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their head-to-head on 12.10.2024, Ceara defeated Ponte Preta 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Ponte Preta averages a total of 2 goals per game, while Ceara averages 1.8. Ponte Preta scores an average of 0.4 goals per game and concedes 1.6, while Ceara scores 0.6 and concedes 1.2. Ponte Preta has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and Ceara only in 1 out of 5. In the first half, the total went over 1.5 goals once in five games for both teams, while in the second half, Ponte Preta did so in 1 out of 5 and Ceara in 2 out of 5. Ponte Preta most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (29% each), while Ceara scores most often in the first 15 minutes (50%). Ponte Preta concedes most frequently between the 31st-45th minutes (67%), and Ceara between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (40% each). Both teams show low attacking productivity and rarely exceed high totals. Considering the low scoring figures and underperformance on totals over 2.5, as well as the frequency of unders per half, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last five matches, Ponte Preta averages 4.6 corners, while Ceara averages 6.2. Ponte Preta has exceeded 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, and Ceara in 4 out of 5. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (10.8) is set at 10 corners: over 10 corners is priced at 2.07, under 10 at 2.15. Ceara is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 2.17. Given Ceara's activity in delivering corners and the overall average sum, a bet on over 10 corners looks justified, as well as considering Ceara's advantage in corner count.