Prediction for match Ponte Preta — Vila Nova

Match Analysis: Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova

On April 11, a Serie B match will take place between Ponte Preta and Vila Nova. The 1X2 odds are as follows: a draw is at 2.69, a win for Ponte Preta is priced at 2.80, and a victory for Vila Nova is offered at 2.86. Probability percentages are almost evenly distributed: Ponte Preta at 33.11%, a draw at 34.47%, and Vila Nova at 32.42%. There is no clear favorite, and bookmakers are giving roughly equal chances for any outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Ponte Preta has shown these results: on April 4, they lost to Nautico Recife 0-1, on April 2, they drew with Ceara 1-1, and on March 22, they lost to Atletico 1-2. During the same period, Vila Nova played against Atletico Goianiense on April 4, winning 2-1, drew 1-1 with Sport Recife on April 1, and drew 2-2 with CRB on March 21. Average ball possession: Ponte Preta 42.6%, Vila Nova 54%. Yellow cards over 5 matches: Ponte Preta 1.8, Vila Nova 3. Fouls were recorded at 15.2 for Ponte Preta and 14 for Vila Nova, offsides - 0.4 and 1.4 respectively. In their latest head-to-head meeting on November 11, 2024, Vila Nova defeated Ponte Preta 2-1.

How Many Goals in the Match: Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova

In the last five matches, Ponte Preta's games went over 2.5 goals 2 times, and under 3 times. For Vila Nova, 3 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals, and 2 with fewer goals. Ponte Preta's average goals per match is 2, with the team scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 per game. Vila Nova's average total is higher at 2.6, with the team scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. By halves, Ponte Preta had only 1 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second. Vila Nova similarly had 1 out of 5 with more than 1.5 goals in the first half, and 3 out of 5 in the second. Ponte Preta most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (33%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minute (50%). Vila Nova's most productive periods are between the 61st and 75th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (33% each). Conceded goals are evenly distributed across five intervals at 20% each. Despite Vila Nova's relatively high scoring, Ponte Preta's low scoring and frequent unders suggest a logical bet on under 2.5 goals.

Corner Totals Analysis

Ponte Preta averages 3.8 corners per game, Vila Nova 6. Both teams recorded over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. The line for corner total is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.93, under 9.5 at 1.81. Based on the average sum of corners (9.8), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. No clear favorite on corner outcomes, but Vila Nova delivers more. Overall, expect flank activity and a decent number of set-pieces.