Prediction for match Portsmouth — Arsenal, 11.01.2026

Match Analysis: Portsmouth vs Arsenal

On January 11, 2026, Portsmouth will face Arsenal in the FA Cup. The odds clearly favor Arsenal: a win for the Londoners is priced at 1.22, a draw at 6.10, and a Portsmouth victory at 12.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Arsenal - 76.82%, draw - 15.36%, Portsmouth - 7.81%. This reflects the difference in class and current form of the teams, as confirmed by recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Portsmouth recorded the following results: lost 0-5 to Bristol City on January 1, defeated Charlton Athletic 2-1 on December 29, drew 1-1 with QPR on December 26, also drew 1-1 with Derby County on December 20, and won 2-1 against Blackburn Rovers on December 13. During the same period, Arsenal drew 0-0 with Liverpool on January 8, won 3-2 against Bournemouth on January 3, thrashed Aston Villa 4-1 on December 30, beat Brighton 2-1 on December 27, and in a thrilling match, won 9-8 against Crystal Palace on December 23. In their previous encounter on March 2, 2020, Arsenal defeated Portsmouth 2-0. Over the last five matches, Portsmouth had an average possession of 52%, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Arsenal averaged 54.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown a penchant for scoring in their last five matches, with an average of 3 goals per game for both Portsmouth and Arsenal. Portsmouth scores 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.8, while Arsenal scores 2 and concedes 1. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 matches, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games. In the first half, Portsmouth exceeded 1.5 goals twice, Arsenal once, while in the second half, Portsmouth did so three times, Arsenal four times. Portsmouth most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (27%), while Arsenal scores most often between the 46th and 60th, and 76th and 90th minutes (33% each). Portsmouth concedes goals evenly across four intervals, while Arsenal tends to concede more in the latter stages (61-75 and 76-90, 33% each). This data suggests a high likelihood of a productive match, especially in the second half. Based on these statistics, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.59 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Portsmouth and Arsenal average 5.2 corners each per match, totaling 10.4 per game. In their last five matches, Portsmouth has seen over 9.5 corners four times, while Arsenal has done so twice. The line for total corners closest to the average is set at 10, with two outcomes: over 10 corners at 2.00, under 10 at 1.75. Arsenal is the favorite in corner bets with odds of 1.15. Given the average corner productivity, considering a bet on over 10 corners is logical, considering both teams' attacking styles and Portsmouth's frequent high corner totals.