Prediction for match Portsmouth — Millwall, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Portsmouth vs Millwall

In the Championship on November 22, Portsmouth will face Millwall. The odds for both teams to win are equal at 2.70, with a draw priced at 3.02. According to the probability percentages: Portsmouth has a 34.55% chance, Millwall also has 34.55%, and the probability of a draw is 30.89%. Thus, bookmakers do not see a clear favorite in this matchup, and the chances are very evenly distributed. This setup suggests that the match could be tightly contested, with the outcome largely depending on the conversion of limited opportunities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Portsmouth has averaged 50.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Millwall, in the same period, has averaged 45.8% possession, received 1 yellow card, committed 12.4 fouls, and been caught offside 1.8 times per match. Recent results for Portsmouth include: November 8 - Hull City 3-2 Portsmouth, November 5 - Portsmouth 0-0 Wrexham, November 1 - Birmingham 4-0 Portsmouth. For Millwall: November 8 - Millwall 1-1 Preston North End, November 4 - Birmingham 4-0 Millwall, November 1 - Oxford United 2-2 Millwall. In their last head-to-head (April 5, 2025), Millwall defeated Portsmouth 2-1, with a total over 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Portsmouth has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, while Millwall has seen it in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Portsmouth had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, and Millwall in 4 out of 5. In the second half, both teams played over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5. The average number of goals in matches for both teams is 2.6, with Portsmouth averaging 0.6 scored and 2 conceded, and Millwall averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded. By intervals: Portsmouth most often scores between 76-90 minutes (33%), Millwall between 31-45 minutes (36%). Portsmouth is most vulnerable between 16-30 minutes (40%), Millwall in the first 15 minutes (67%). Considering these data, and the fact that both teams had over 2.5 goals in at least 2 out of 5 matches, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 2.5 goals. The odds for this outcome are 2.27, which makes it an attractive choice given the equal chances of the teams and moderate scoring in their matches.

Corner Statistics

Portsmouth averages 6.4 corners per game, while Millwall averages 5.8. In the last 5 matches, Portsmouth had over 9.5 corners 4 times, and Millwall 3 times. The line for the match total corners over 9.5 is priced at 1.67, and under 9.5 also at 1.67. Portsmouth is favored in corners with odds of 1.63. Given these figures, one should expect at least 10 corners in this match, with the advantage in corners likely to be on Portsmouth's side.