Prediction for match Portugal — Armenia, 16.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities

In the World Cup qualification match between Portugal and Armenia on November 16, 2025, one side is clearly dominant. The odds for a Portugal win are 1.07, a draw is at 12.00, and an Armenia victory is at 23.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Portugal 88.05%, draw 7.85%, Armenia 4.10%. These odds and probabilities reflect the significant advantage of the favorite in this matchup, which is also confirmed in other key lines.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Portugal has shown a high level of ball possession at 70.4%, with average figures for yellow cards (1.6), fouls (7), and offsides (2.4). Over the same period, Armenia averages 42.6% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Portugal played as follows: 11/13/2025 Ireland 2-0 Portugal, 10/14/2025 Portugal 2-2 Hungary, 10/11/2025 Portugal 1-0 Ireland. Armenia lost their last three games: 11/13/2025 Armenia 0-1 Hungary, 10/14/2025 Ireland 1-0 Armenia, 10/11/2025 Hungary 2-0 Armenia. In their head-to-head meeting on 09/06/2025, Armenia lost to Portugal 0-5, where the total over 2.5 goals was recorded.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Portugal averages 3.4 goals per game over the last five matches, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2. Armenia's numbers are much lower: 0.4 scored and 2 conceded per match, with an overall average total of 2.4. During this period, three out of five matches for Portugal went over 2.5 total goals, while for Armenia, it was two out of five. In the first half, Portugal had two or more goals in four out of five games, and in the second half, three out of five. Armenia only had one match with a total over 1.5 in the first half and three in the second half. Portugal most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (38%), while Armenia scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%). In terms of goals conceded, Portugal shows a balanced distribution across four intervals, while Armenia is most vulnerable between the 31st and 60th minutes (29% in each of the two intervals). This attacking potential advantage and Armenia's weak scoring form suggest a bet on both teams not to score. This is further supported by Armenia's very low scoring rate of 0.4 per match, while Portugal averages over two goals. In their last head-to-head, Armenia didn't score, and the total exceeded 2.5. Although Armenia had two matches with over 2.5 goals, they failed to score in three games. Portugal's defense isn't perfect, but Armenia rarely creates dangerous chances. The frequency of both teams to score: no has a significant edge, and the odds of 1.53 seem justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Portugal averages 6.6 corners over the last five matches, while Armenia averages 1.2. Only one out of five matches for both teams ended with more than 9.5 corners. The line offers over 9.5 corners at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.98. The corner outcome also clearly favors Portugal, with the favorite priced at 1.08. Portugal has a high corner count, but Armenia hardly contributes, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 9.5 corners. The most logical bet seems to be on Portugal's individual corner total over 6.5 or the overall total under 9.5, considering Armenia's low numbers. In recent matches, neither team frequently surpassed the corner total, further confirming caution when choosing bets in this segment.