Prediction for match Preston — Derby County, 17.01.2026

Match Analysis: Preston North End vs Derby County

On January 17th, in the English Championship, Preston North End will face Derby County. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Preston North End is priced at 2.26, a draw at 3.12, and a win for Derby County at 3.28. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Preston North End - 41.44%, draw - 30.01%, Derby County - 28.55%. Preston North End is the favorite according to both percentage and odds, but the gap between the teams isn't too wide, suggesting a potentially hard-fought match. The odds for over/under 2.5 goals are: over 2.5 at 2.35, under 2.5 at 1.57, indicating moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Preston North End played as follows: January 9th - Preston North End 0-1 Wigan Athletic, January 4th - Bristol City 0-2 Preston North End, January 1st - Preston North End 3-0 Sheffield Wednesday. Derby County's last three matches resulted in: January 11th - Derby County 1-3 Leeds, January 4th - Derby County 1-2 Wrexham, January 1st - Derby County 1-0 Middlesbrough. On average over five games, Preston North End has 49.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. Derby County averages 40% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last head-to-head on September 20, 2025, Derby County lost to Preston North End 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Preston North End had an average total of 1.8 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6. Derby County had an average total of 2.6, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Preston North End had 2 out of 5 matches over, Derby County had 3 out of 5 over. In first halves, Preston North End had 0 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Derby County had 3 out of 5. In second halves, Preston North End had 3 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Derby County only 1 out of 5. Preston North End most often scores between the 76th-90th minutes (40%), while Derby County scores most frequently between the 31st-45th minutes (50%). In terms of conceding: Preston North End concedes most often between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each), while Derby County concedes most frequently between the 46th-60th minutes (38%). Overall, the stats suggest a match with limited goals, and Preston North End appears more solid defensively. A bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.57 seems justified, considering average goal figures and the frequency of unders for Preston North End.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average over five matches, Preston North End takes 3 corners, Derby County - 5.2. For over 9.5 corners: Preston North End had 2 out of 5 over, Derby County had 4 out of 5 over. The total closest to the average sum (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.43, under 8.5 - 2.55. The line also highlights a total of 9.5: over 9.5 at 1.75, under 9.5 - 1.96. For corners, Preston North End is favored with odds of 1.78. Based on statistics, a bet on over 8.5 corners looks logical, considering Derby County's high activity on corners and Preston North End's moderate figures. One might also consider over 9.5 if expecting a slightly more open game in this aspect.