Prediction for match PSV Eindhoven — Atletico Madrid, 09.12.2025

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The UEFA Champions League continues to thrill fans, and on December 9, 2025, an exciting clash between PSV Eindhoven and Atletico Madrid is set to take place. According to the odds, bookmakers are offering 2.20 for an Atletico Madrid victory, 3.23 for a PSV win, and 3.96 for a draw. In terms of probability percentages, Atletico Madrid has a 44.71% chance of winning, PSV 30.45%, and a draw 24.84%, giving the Spanish team the edge as the favorite.

Team Statistics and Scores

PSV Eindhoven is in excellent form, having secured victories over Heerenveen (2-0), Volendam (3-0), and Liverpool (4-1), as well as defeating NAC Breda (1-0) and AZ Alkmaar (5-1) in their last five matches. During the same period, Atletico Madrid won against Real Oviedo (2-0), Inter Milan (2-1), and Getafe (1-0), but lost to Athletic Bilbao (0-1) and Barcelona (1-3). In their last head-to-head meeting on November 23, 2016, Atletico Madrid defeated PSV 2-0. In secondary statistics, PSV averaged 53.4% possession, 0.4 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game over five matches. Atletico Madrid had averages of 51.4% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per match.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the PSV vs Atletico Madrid Match

The teams' recent performances show a noticeable difference in scoring. PSV averaged 3 goals per game and conceded 0.4, with a total match average of 3.4. Atletico Madrid scored 1.2 goals and conceded 1, with a match average of 2.2. In five matches, PSV had over 2.5 total goals in 3 games, under in 2. Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, had over 2.5 total goals in only 2 games and under in 3. In the first half, PSV had over 1.5 total goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Atletico Madrid had it in 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 total goals in 2 out of 5 matches. Regarding goal intervals, PSV most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%), while Atletico Madrid scores in the same 16-30 minutes (33%) and late in the game from the 76th to 90th minutes (33%). In terms of goals conceded, PSV most often allows goals in the first 30 minutes (25% in both 0-15 and 16-30 intervals), while Atletico Madrid concedes in the 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 intervals (33% each). Considering PSV's high scoring rate, regular over 2.5 totals, and Atletico Madrid's not-so-reliable defense, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.50 odds seems a logical choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

PSV averages 4.6 corners per match, while Atletico Madrid averages 6.2. In a five-match series, PSV had over 9.5 total corners 4 times, and Atletico Madrid 3 times out of 5. Among available lines for corner totals, there is a bet on over 9.5 at 1.80, under 9.5 at 2.05. Based on this data, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given the combined activity of both teams. PSV tends to take more corners in the first half, while Atletico Madrid does so towards the end, further increasing the chances of hitting the over.