Prediction for match PSV Eindhoven — NAC Breda, 24.01.2026

PSV vs NAC Breda Match Analysis

On January 24th, PSV Eindhoven will face NAC Breda in the Eredivisie. The 1X2 odds suggest a strong favor for PSV, with odds of 1.23 for a win, 6.84 for a draw, and 12.00 for a NAC Breda victory. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: PSV - 77.98%, Draw - 14.02%, NAC Breda - 7.99%. PSV is the clear favorite, as confirmed by recent match statistics and the odds provided. This reflects the difference in class between the teams and their current form.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, PSV has shown strong ball control with an average of 57.8% possession, received 2.2 yellow cards per game, committed 10.6 fouls, and had 2 offsides. NAC Breda maintains 53.4% possession, averages 1.8 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per match. Recent results for PSV include: 21.01.2026 Newcastle - PSV 3-0, 17.01.2026 Fortuna Sittard - PSV 1-2, 14.01.2026 Den Bosch - PSV 1-4. For NAC Breda: 17.01.2026 NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen 3-4, 10.01.2026 Groningen - NAC Breda 0-0, 20.12.2025 NAC Breda - Telstar 0-1. In the last head-to-head on 22.11.2025, NAC Breda lost to PSV 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

PSV shows a strong over-profile: their five-match average total goals per game is 4, with their own scoring average at 2.6. In their last 5 games, PSV hit the over 2.5 goals mark in all matches, and in 4 out of 5 games, they exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half. In the second half, they only exceeded 1.5 goals once out of 5. NAC Breda's average total goals per game is 2.2, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. In their last 5 matches, NAC Breda only exceeded 2.5 total goals once, and exceeded 1.5 first-half goals in 2 out of 5 games. In the second half, they exceeded 1.5 goals once out of 5. By intervals: PSV scores most frequently in the 0-15 minute (27%) and 31-45 minute (27%) intervals, while NAC Breda scores most in the 16-30 minute interval (40%). PSV concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (33%), and NAC Breda in the 16-30 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). Considering PSV's high scoring potential and NAC Breda's vulnerabilities, betting on over 3.0 goals at 1.53 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

PSV averages 8 corners over their last 5 matches, while NAC Breda averages 6.8. For the over 9.5 corners total, PSV hit it 4 out of 5 times, and NAC Breda 3 out of 5. With a total corner line at 14.8, the closest option is 14.5, but odds are available for over 10.5 corners: over 10.5 - 1.84, under 10.5 - 1.80. In terms of corner outcomes, PSV is favored with odds of 1.10. Given these figures, betting on over 10.5 corners seems reasonable, considering both teams' high average in this metric and recent match trends.