Prediction for match PSV Eindhoven — Napoli, 21.10.2025

PSV vs Napoli Match Analysis

On October 21, 2025, PSV Eindhoven will face Napoli in the UEFA Champions League, with Napoli being the favorite according to the odds: their win is priced at 2.20 with a probability of 42.67%. PSV is given odds of 3.25 with a 28.88% chance, while a draw is at 3.30, equating to a 28.45% probability. This indicates a moderately high level of competition between the teams, but the odds slightly favor the Italian club. The first half of the match is expected to be fiercely contested, and statistics show that both teams have high scoring potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, PSV has averaged 2.2 goals per game while conceding 1, with a total goal average of 3.2. Napoli averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, totaling 3 goals per game. Both teams are active in corners: PSV averages 5.6, while Napoli averages 7.4. In a series of five matches, PSV defeated Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 (18.10.2025), thrashed Zwolle 4-0 (04.10.2025), and drew with Bayer 1-1 (01.10.2025). Napoli secured victories over Genoa 2-1 (05.10.2025) and Sporting Lisbon 2-1 (01.10.2025), lost to Torino 0-1 (18.10.2025) and AC Milan 1-2 (28.09.2025), and beat Pisa 3-2 (22.09.2025). Both teams play an attacking style, with PSV having slightly higher attacking productivity, while Napoli has more corners and ball possession (63.2% vs 61.2%).

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in four of them: PSV 4 out of 5, and Napoli also 4 out of 5. The average goals per game are 3.2 and 3, respectively, indicating a high likelihood of a high-scoring game. In the first half, PSV had over 1.5 goals three times, while Napoli only once. In the second half, PSV had 4 out of 5 over 1.5, Napoli 3 out of 5. PSV frequently scores between 0-15 minutes (33%), while Napoli scores most often between 31-45 minutes (40%). PSV concedes most frequently between 61-75 minutes (40%), while Napoli between 46-60 minutes (40%). This data suggests goals in both halves, with a focus on the second half.

Corners in the Match

PSV averages 5.6 corners per game, Napoli 7.4. For over 9.5 corners: PSV 3 out of 5, Napoli 2 out of 5. The line on total corners is: Under 9.5 corners at 1.73, Over 9.5 at 2.00. Napoli is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.73. This statistic reflects the activity of both teams in set-pieces, especially the visitors.