Prediction for match PSV Eindhoven — NEC Nijmegen

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On March 14, 2026, in the Dutch Eredivisie, PSV Eindhoven will face NEC Nijmegen. Bookmakers confidently mark PSV as the favorite: odds for their victory are set at 1.47, which corresponds to a 65.20% probability. A draw is priced at 5.04 with a 19.02% chance, while NEC Nijmegen's win is at 6.07 and 15.79% respectively. The goal total odds indicate an expected high-scoring game: over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.25, and over 3.5 goals at 1.76. Individual team totals also suggest a high scoring potential: PSV's individual total over 2 is at 1.50, and NEC Nijmegen's individual total over 1 is at 1.82. The "Both Teams to Score: Yes" option is at 1.39, "No" at 2.77. Double chance options are: 1X - 1.13, 12 - 1.18, X2 - 2.72. These figures show PSV with a clear advantage, but NEC Nijmegen is capable of surprising with a high-scoring performance.

Team Results and Statistics

PSV has been showing confident play in their last five matches, confirmed by the results: 07.03.2026 - PSV vs AZ Alkmaar - 2-1, 03.03.2026 - NEC Nijmegen vs PSV - 3-2, 28.02.2026 - Heracles vs PSV - 1-3. In this five-match series, PSV displays ball possession of 62.4%, an average of 1.6 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. NEC Nijmegen has also been stable over the same period: 08.03.2026 - NEC Nijmegen vs Volendam - 3-0, 03.03.2026 - NEC Nijmegen vs PSV - 3-2, 28.02.2026 - NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard - 2-3. NEC Nijmegen's averages are 56.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Their last head-to-head meeting was on 03.03.2026, ending with a 3-2 victory for NEC Nijmegen. Overall, both teams enter the match with good form and consistent secondary statistics.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the PSV vs NEC Nijmegen Match

In their last five matches, PSV had over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 5 games, while NEC Nijmegen had it in 3 out of 5. PSV's matches average 3.8 goals, NEC Nijmegen's 3.4, confirming the high scoring nature of both teams. PSV scores an average of 2.2 goals per game and concedes 1.6, while NEC Nijmegen scores 2 and concedes 1.4. In terms of halves, PSV had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 times out of 5, and in the second half 2 out of 5. NEC Nijmegen had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and in the second half 3 out of 5. PSV most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (36%) and concedes most often in the first 30 minutes (38% in each of the two intervals). NEC Nijmegen scores most frequently between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (30% each) and concedes most in the 16th-30th minute interval (43%). Overall, both teams show a strong over-profile for goals, supported by their total passes and averages. In such a scenario, a bet on over 3.5 goals at 1.76 seems logical, given both teams' attacking styles and frequent high total passes.

Analysis of Corner Totals

PSV averages 6.6 corners per match, NEC Nijmegen 7.6, totaling 14.2. In the last five matches, PSV's total corners over 9.5 happened 4 out of 5 times, and NEC Nijmegen's 5 out of 5. Available lines for corner totals include one at 10.5: over 10.5 - 1.84, under 10.5 - 1.84. There's also an option at 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.49, under 9.5 - 2.34. Based on corner outcomes, PSV is favored with odds of 1.25. Given the high average corner stats and frequent total passes, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems logical. Expect active wing play and many set-pieces, as both teams regularly deliver 6-8 corners per match.