Prediction for match Puebla — Cruz Azul, 01.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX on November 1, Puebla will face Cruz Azul. The odds for Cruz Azul's victory are set at 1.70, a draw at 3.90, and Puebla's win at 4.75. The probability percentages for the main outcomes are: Puebla - 19.95%, draw - 24.30%, Cruz Azul - 55.75%. Cruz Azul is considered the favorite, but the difference between a draw and Puebla's win is not significant. Therefore, the bookmakers give a significant advantage to the visitors, but do not rule out a competitive match and alternative outcomes, especially considering the recent statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five games, Puebla had an average possession of 52.8%, recorded 2.2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per match. Cruz Azul showed 54.8% possession, 2.4 warnings, 12 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. Puebla's last three matches were: 25.10 - Juarez - Puebla 4-4, 22.10 - Club America - Puebla 2-1, 18.10 - Puebla - Tijuana 4-3. For Cruz Azul: 26.10 - Cruz Azul - Monterrey 2-0, 22.10 - Necaxa - Cruz Azul 1-1, 19.10 - Cruz Azul - Club America 2-1. In their head-to-head meeting on 25.01.2025, Cruz Azul and Puebla drew 1-1 - total 2.5 was not exceeded. Previous encounters have seen both high-scoring and more closed matches, as confirmed by the final scores.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In a five-match span, Puebla shows very high scoring ability: the average number of goals in their matches is 4.8, with 2 scored and 2.8 conceded. For Cruz Azul, the average total over 5 games is 2.2, with 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: Puebla has 4 out of 5, Cruz Azul only 1 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Puebla, once for Cruz Azul; in the second half: Puebla - 4 out of 5, Cruz Azul - 2 out of 5. Puebla most often scores in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), and concedes with a peak at 46-60 (27%). Cruz Azul most frequently scored in the 31-45 minute interval (38%), and conceded evenly in three intervals after the 30th minute. The balance of goal metrics and frequent over 2.5 goals for Puebla, along with stable figures for Cruz Azul, suggest considering the bet "Both Teams to Score: Yes" at 1.67 as the main option. In the last five meetings between the opponents, both teams scored multiple times, supporting this choice.

How Many Corners?

Puebla averages 5.6 corners per game, Cruz Azul - 2.4. In 3 of Puebla's last 5 matches, the total corners exceeded 9.5, while Cruz Azul did not have this happen once in the same period. The odds for over 9.5 total corners are 1.92, for under - 1.88. The favorite for corner outcomes is Cruz Azul, with odds of 1.50. However, the significant difference in average corners between the teams could affect the result in this component. Based on the dynamics, it makes sense to consider the option of over 9.5 total corners, especially given Puebla's attacking style and frequent corner kicks.