Prediction for match Puebla — Mazatlán

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on January 13, Puebla faces Mazatlán. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Puebla's win is priced at 1.99, a draw is at 3.38, and Mazatlán's success is offered at 3.63. In terms of probability percentages, Puebla has 46.80%, a draw is 27.55%, and Mazatlán is 25.65%. This setup suggests a slight advantage for Puebla, but a draw is also possible. The line on total goals stands out as well: Over 2.5 is at 1.80, Under 2.5 is at 1.96, indicating expectations for a fairly high-scoring game. Both teams to score: yes - 1.65, no - 2.11. Individual totals: Puebla over 1.5 goals - 1.92, Mazatlán over 1.5 goals - 2.89. For double chance, 1X is at 1.25, X2 - 1.76, 12 - 1.28.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Puebla played as follows: lost to Atlas 0-1 on January 10, beat León 2-1 on November 9, and lost to Cruz Azul 0-3 on November 1. Mazatlán's last three games: lost to Juárez 1-2 on January 10, drew with Necaxa 1-1 on November 8, and lost to Querétaro 0-1 on November 2. Looking at the average stats over five matches, Puebla's ball possession is 46.6%, yellow cards - 2.8, fouls - 13.8, offsides - 1.4. Mazatlán's possession is 44.4%, yellow cards - 2.6, fouls - 12.8, offsides - 2.2. In their last head-to-head on July 19, 2025, Mazatlán was stronger with a 2-1 win over Puebla.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams tend towards high-scoring matches. Over a five-match series, Puebla's average total goals are 3.6, Mazatlán's - 2.8. Puebla scores 1.4 and concedes 2.2 per game, while Mazatlán scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. In Puebla's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, for Mazatlán - 3 out of 5. By halves, Puebla had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times, Mazatlán - 1 time. In the first half, both teams went over 1.5 goals 2 times out of 5. Goal intervals: Puebla most often scores between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (25% each), and concedes in 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (30% each). Mazatlán is most productive in 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (29% each), and most often concedes at the end - 76-90 minutes (43%). These data confirm the over-profile of both teams, especially Puebla, where over 2.5 goals and high average scoring combine with not the most reliable defense. Meanwhile, Mazatlán also has a tendency for goals, but slightly less frequently. Overall, the statistics favor a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.80.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Puebla earns an average of 5.6 corners per match, Mazatlán - 4.6. In Puebla's last five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred 4 times, for Mazatlán - 2 times out of 5. Looking at the nearest average total, it is 10 corners. However, the odds offer individual totals: for Puebla, over 5.5 corners is at 2.00, under 5.5 - 1.73; for Mazatlán, over 4.5 - 2.00, under 4.5 - 1.73. Considering the average activity of both teams on corners, it makes sense to consider over 9.5 corners based on Puebla's frequency, as well as individual bets on Puebla over 5.5 corners. Overall, both teams are capable of maintaining a high pace on corner deliveries, especially if the match follows a high-scoring scenario.