Prediction for match Puebla — Tigres UANL

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX, Puebla will face Tigres UANL on March 5. According to 1X2 odds, Tigres UANL is the favorite: their victory is valued at 1.77, a draw at 3.58, and a Puebla win at 4.38. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Puebla - 21.29%, Draw - 26.04%, Tigres UANL - 52.67%. This setup reflects analysts' confidence in Tigres UANL's strength compared to their opponent. In this match, Tigres UANL is expected to dictate the terms and control the game, considering the statistical differences between the two teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's analyze the recent matches. Puebla has one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games: 02/28/2026 Atlético San Luis - Puebla 0-1, 02/21/2026 Puebla - Club América 0-4, 02/14/2026 Puebla - UNAM Pumas 2-3. Tigres UANL, in the same period, won three times and lost twice: 03/01/2026 Club América - Tigres UANL 1-4, 02/21/2026 Tigres UANL - Pachuca 1-2, 02/15/2026 Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL 2-1. On average over five matches, Puebla had 37.6% possession, committed 11.8 fouls, 1 offside, and received 1.6 yellow cards. Tigres UANL had 61.2% possession, 12.6 fouls, 0.8 offsides, and 2 yellow cards. In their last head-to-head on 08/09/2025, Tigres UANL defeated Puebla 7-0, further highlighting the class difference between the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

There is a significant difference in scoring between the teams. In the last five matches, Puebla's average total goals per game is 2, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.4. Tigres UANL's average total goals is 4.4, scoring 3 and conceding 1.4 per match. For over 2.5 total goals: Puebla has 2 out of 5, Tigres UANL 5 out of 5. For the first half over 1.5 goals: Puebla 1 out of 5, Tigres UANL 2 out of 5. In the second half, Puebla has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, Tigres UANL 5 out of 5. Puebla most often scores between the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (50% each), while Tigres UANL scores most between 61-75 minutes (31%). Both teams are most vulnerable in the final minutes: 76-90 (44%). With these figures, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.89 seems logical: Tigres UANL has a pronounced over-profile, consistently scoring a lot, and Puebla regularly concedes and is capable of scoring at least once. The halftime statistics also support the option of goals in the second half.

Betting on Corners

Let's move on to corner statistics. Puebla averages 4 corners in the last five matches, Tigres UANL - 4.6. For over 9.5 corners: Puebla 3 out of 5, Tigres UANL 1 out of 5. The closest to the average total is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.45, under 8.5 at 2.47. There is also a line for 9.5: over 9.5 at 1.80, under 9.5 at 1.90. For the outcome on corners, Tigres UANL is the favorite with odds of 1.62. Based on the teams' average activity and frequency of outcomes, a bet on over 8.5 or 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Tigres UANL's attacking style and Puebla's tendency to play defensively.