Prediction for match Puebla — UNAM Pumas

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on 14.02.2026, Puebla will face UNAM Pumas. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Puebla win at 2.61, draw at 3.10, and UNAM Pumas win at 2.68. The probability percentages for the outcomes are: Puebla 35.51%, draw 29.90%, UNAM Pumas 34.59%. These figures indicate that both teams have roughly equal chances, with no clear favorite according to the bookmakers. There are also diverse options for total goals and both teams to score, suggesting a variety of possible scenarios. Given these odds, the bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.52 is appealing for those expecting a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Puebla has an average possession of 42.8%, with 2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. UNAM Pumas, in the same period, holds 46.6% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per game. In their last three matches, Puebla played as follows: 07.02.2026 Tijuana - Puebla 0-0, 31.01.2026 Puebla - Toluca 0-0, 18.01.2026 Cruz Azul - Puebla 1-0. UNAM Pumas' last three matches were: 11.02.2026 UNAM Pumas - San Diego 1-0, 08.02.2026 Atlas - UNAM Pumas 2-2, 04.02.2026 San Diego - UNAM Pumas 4-1. In their head-to-head on 24.08.2025, UNAM Pumas and Puebla drew 0-0. These results show that Puebla tends to play low-scoring games, while UNAM Pumas often participates in high-scoring encounters.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Puebla's games went over 2.5 goals once and under four times. Conversely, UNAM Pumas went over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games and under twice. In the first half, Puebla had only 1 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, while UNAM Pumas had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Puebla never exceeded 1.5 goals, whereas UNAM Pumas did once in 5 games. The average number of goals in Puebla's matches over this period is 1, while UNAM Pumas averages 3.2. Puebla scores an average of 0.4 goals and concedes 0.6, while UNAM Pumas scores 1.8 and concedes 1.4. Puebla most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (75%) and concedes in two intervals: 31-45 and 61-75 (50% each). UNAM Pumas most often scores at the end (76-90, 33%) and concedes at the start (0-15, 50%) and at the end of the first half (31-45, 50%). Despite Puebla's low scoring, UNAM Pumas' attacking profile and frequent over 2.5 goal games make the over 2.0 goals bet at 1.52 a logical choice for this match.

Corners in the Match

In the last five games, Puebla averages 4.8 corners, while UNAM Pumas averages 1.6. For the total over 9.5 corners, Puebla had 4 out of 5 matches go over, whereas UNAM Pumas had only 1 out of 5. Among the corner markets, the total closest to the average values is 6.5-7.5, but there is a line for total 9.5: over 9.5 at 1.76, under 9.5 at 1.93. Puebla is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 2.00. Given the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical as Puebla consistently delivers many corners, and the overall tempo could be supported by UNAM Pumas' attacking activity.