Prediction for match QPR — Birmingham

Match Analysis: QPR vs Birmingham

On December 9, 2025, QPR will face Birmingham in the English Championship. According to the 1X2 odds, Birmingham is the favorite: their victory is priced at 2.42, while QPR's win is at 2.91, and a draw is at 3.22. The probability percentages are as follows: QPR win is estimated at 32.19%, draw at 29.09%, and Birmingham win at 38.71%. For the goal totals, the odds for Over 2.5 goals are 2.00, and for Under 2.5 goals, it's 1.78. Both teams to score: Yes is at 1.74, No is at 1.98. For individual team totals: QPR to score over 1 goal is at 1.80, and Birmingham over 1 goal is at 1.52. In the first half, Over 1.0 is priced at 1.96, and in the second half, Over 1.5 is at 2.18.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, QPR has averaged 43.6% possession, 1 yellow card, 9.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Birmingham leads in these metrics: 55% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, QPR played: December 6 - QPR vs West Bromwich 3-1, November 29 - Norwich City vs QPR 3-1, November 26 - Blackburn Rovers vs QPR 0-1. Birmingham's recent games were: December 6 - Southampton vs Birmingham 3-1, December 1 - Birmingham vs Watford 2-1, November 26 - West Bromwich vs Birmingham 1-1. In their last head-to-head on March 29, 2024, QPR defeated Birmingham 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, QPR has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Birmingham averages 3.4. QPR scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2, Birmingham scores 1.8 and concedes 1.6. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of QPR's last 5 games, and in 4 of Birmingham's. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened twice for QPR and four times for Birmingham; in the second half, over 1.5 goals happened twice for QPR and once for Birmingham. QPR most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (44%), while Birmingham also scores most often in this period (33%). QPR concedes most often in the final minutes (76th-90th, 40%), while Birmingham's conceded goals are evenly distributed across five 20-minute intervals. Given these statistics, both teams show a tendency for high-scoring matches, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in most games, and the average goal totals are quite high. A bet on Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 seems like a solid choice.

Corner Totals Analysis

QPR averages 5.6 corners per game, Birmingham 5. The frequency of Over 9.5 corners is 4 out of 5 for QPR and 3 out of 5 for Birmingham. For corner totals, the odds for Over 10.5 corners are 2.19, and Under 10.5 is 1.63. Recent matches show both teams regularly reaching 10 or more corners, supported by the frequency of Over 9.5 corners. A bet on Over 10.5 corners seems logical, considering the averages and frequency of occurrences.