Prediction for match Racing Santander — Almeria

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda on April 12, Racing Santander faces Almeria. Racing is given odds of 2.38 to win, Almeria 2.94, and a draw is at 3.56. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 40.35% for a Racing win, 32.67% for Almeria, and 26.98% for a draw. The line for total goals highlights odds for over 2.75 at 1.55 and under 2.75 at 2.21. This reflects the expectation of a high-scoring game from both sides, considering the attacking performances of both teams in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Racing Santander has an average possession of 50.8%, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 3 times per game. Almeria, over the same period, maintains an average possession of 56.6%, receives 3 cautions, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. Racing's last three matches: April 5, 2026 - FC Andorra 6-2 Racing Santander, April 1, 2026 - Racing Santander 3-1 Sporting Gijon, March 29, 2026 - Real Zaragoza 2-0 Racing Santander. For Almeria: April 5, 2026 - Almeria 2-1 Leganes, April 2, 2026 - Castellon 2-0 Almeria, March 29, 2026 - Almeria 5-1 Real Sociedad II. In their head-to-head on September 7, 2025, Almeria lost to Racing 2-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Racing Santander averages a total of 4.2 goals per game over their last five matches, while Almeria averages 3.4. In terms of goals scored, Racing averages 1.4 and Almeria 2, with goals conceded at 2.8 and 1.4 respectively. In Racing's last five matches, the total over 2.5 occurred 4 times, while for Almeria it happened 3 times. In terms of halves, Racing's second half was productive in all five matches (5 out of 5 over 1.5), while the first half saw over 1.5 twice. Almeria's first half went over 1.5 three times, and the second half twice. Both teams most frequently score between the 76th and 90th minutes (42%), and concede most often in the first 15 minutes: Racing 33%, Almeria 40%. Almeria also has a vulnerable period between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%). All this confirms high scoring, especially in the second half. Considering the over 2.5 totals, average goals above 3, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.75 with odds of 1.55 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Racing averages 3.8 corners per match, while Almeria averages 5.6, totaling 9.4. In their last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games. The line for corners at 9.5 offers two outcomes: over 9.5 at 1.67 and under 9.5 at 2.05. Racing is favored for corners with odds of 1.96. Based on the average sum of corners and frequency of overs, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Almeria takes more corners, which could impact the total number of set pieces in this match.