Prediction for match Radnik Surdulica — Novi Pazar

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Serbia, a Super Liga match between Radnik Surdulica and Novi Pazar is scheduled for December 21, 2025. The odds for a Radnik Surdulica win are 2.29, for a Novi Pazar victory - 2.92, and a draw is priced at 3.12. Looking at the probability distribution, Radnik Surdulica has a 39.71% chance, Novi Pazar - 31.14%, and a draw - 29.15%. These figures suggest a slight preference for Radnik Surdulica, but the gap is not significant, promising a closely contested match. Betting options on totals and both teams to score also offer interesting odds, but the primary focus is on the under line.

Team Results and Statistics

Radnik Surdulica has been gaining momentum in their last five matches: a 1-1 draw with Čukarički (13.12.2025), a goalless draw against Mladost Lučani (08.12.2025), a 2-0 win over Bačka Topola (30.11.2025), a convincing 3-1 victory against Vojvodina (21.11.2025), and a narrow 1-0 win over OFK Belgrade (08.11.2025). In a similar five-match series, Novi Pazar defeated Radnički Niš 1-0 (14.12.2025), won 3-2 against IMT Novi Belgrade (07.12.2025), beat Napredak 2-1 (29.11.2025), drew 0-0 with Radnički 1923 (23.11.2025), and lost to Partizan 0-2 (09.11.2025). On average, Radnik Surdulica has 48.2% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 16.4 fouls, and gets caught offside 2.4 times per game. Novi Pazar averages 43% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 17.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on August 16, 2025, Novi Pazar defeated Radnik Surdulica 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Radnik Surdulica only went over 2.5 goals once, with four matches ending under. Novi Pazar exceeded the three-goal mark twice out of five, staying under three times. In the first half, Radnik Surdulica has 1 out of 5 for over 1.5, while Novi Pazar has 2 out of 5. In the second half, Radnik Surdulica had no over 1.5 instances, and Novi Pazar had just one. Average figures over the five-match series: Radnik Surdulica - 1.8 goals per game, Novi Pazar - 2.2. Radnik Surdulica scores 1.4 and concedes only 0.4, while Novi Pazar scores 1.2 and concedes 1. In terms of goal timing, Radnik Surdulica most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%), while Novi Pazar scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). Goals conceded by Radnik Surdulica are evenly distributed across four intervals, 25% each for: 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, 76-90. Novi Pazar also has 25% in four intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, 76-90. Overall, the profile of both teams in recent matches and halves indicates low scoring, especially for Radnik Surdulica, whose defense appears very reliable, and the opponent's attacking activity does not exceed 1.2 goals per match. In this situation, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems the most logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Radnik Surdulica averages 3.2 corners per match, while Novi Pazar averages 4. Regarding the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Radnik Surdulica had just 1 out of 5 games over, and Novi Pazar had 2 out of 5. Combining the average figures of both teams results in 7.2 corners per game. The nearest total with odds available is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is priced at 1.43, under 7.5 at 2.53. Based on these data, it is logical to expect that the match will not set a record for corner kicks, and a bet on under 7.5 corners seems reasonable for risk-takers. However, the line at 7.5 allows for a moderately productive option if one team shows unexpected activity in the opponent's box.