Prediction for match Raków — Fiorentina

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On March 19, 2026, in the Conference League, Raków will face Fiorentina. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Raków is at 2.67, Fiorentina's success is priced at 2.81, and a draw is valued at 3.32. In terms of probability percentages, Raków has a 36.31% chance, Fiorentina 34.50%, and a draw 29.20%. The odds and probabilities are quite close, indicating a highly competitive matchup. There are also extended options for totals and individual team performances, allowing bets to be tailored to different playing styles.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at the last three matches of each team. Raków played the following: March 15, 2026, Górnik Zabrze - Raków 3-1, March 12, 2026, Fiorentina - Raków 2-1, March 8, 2026, Raków - Pogoń Szczecin 2-0. Fiorentina's results were: March 16, 2026, Cremonese - Fiorentina 1-4, March 12, 2026, Fiorentina - Raków 2-1, March 8, 2026, Fiorentina - Parma 0-0. In their head-to-head on March 12, Fiorentina won 2-1. Over five matches, Raków had possession of 52.6%, an average of 0.8 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Fiorentina had 56.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. These figures show that both teams actively compete for possession and do not shy away from tough play, especially Fiorentina, which commits more fouls and receives more cautions.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The goal profile for both teams over a five-match series is nearly identical: the average total goals per match is 3.4, with an average of 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded. For matches with over 2.5 goals, Raków had 3 out of 5, and Fiorentina had 4 out of 5, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. In the first half, the total over 1.5 was recorded 2 times out of 5 for both teams, and in the second half, 3 times out of 5. This is also reflected in the intervals: Raków scores most frequently between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (25% each), while Fiorentina scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). For goals conceded, Raków's distribution is even across all intervals, while Fiorentina stands out in the 46th-60th minute (38%). Overall, these data suggest a high likelihood of a high-scoring game where both teams are likely to score. A bet on over 2.5 goals is at 1.94 and seems logical given this profile.

Corner Bets

Raków averages 4.4 corners per match, Fiorentina 5.8, totaling 10.2. In the last five matches, Raków's total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times, and Fiorentina's 2 times. Among the odds for total corners, there's a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.67, under 9.5 at 1.38. Raków is the favorite for corners with odds of 2.03. Considering the averages and frequency of total corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match, especially if both teams maintain an attacking style.