Prediction for match Raków — Nieciecza

Match Analysis: Raków vs Nieciecza

In the Ekstraklasa on February 21, 2026, Raków will face Nieciecza. Bookmakers have made Raków the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.50, a draw at 4.30, and a win for Nieciecza at 5.74. The odds imply the following probabilities: Raków 62.11%, draw 21.66%, Nieciecza 16.23%. This setup reflects Raków's advantage in current form and statistics. In recent head-to-head encounters, the teams have regularly exchanged victories, adding intrigue to the upcoming game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Raków recorded the following results: February 14, 2026, Zagłębie Lubin - Raków 0-0, February 8, 2026, Raków - Radomiak Radom 0-0, February 1, 2026, Wisła Płock - Raków 2-1. Other matches include: December 18, 2025, Omonia Nicosia - Raków 0-1 and December 14, 2025, Raków - Zagłębie Lubin 0-1. Nieciecza's recent form: February 16, 2026, Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze 1-1, February 8, 2026, Pogoń Szczecin - Nieciecza 1-1, February 2, 2026, Nieciecza - Cracovia 0-1. Additional matches: December 7, 2025, Nieciecza - Jagiellonia 2-1 and November 29, 2025, Lechia Gdańsk - Nieciecza 5-1. Their last head-to-head on August 17, 2025, ended with Nieciecza - Raków 2-3. Secondary statistics show Raków's average possession over 5 matches is 56.2%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Nieciecza's averages are 36.8% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Raków averages 1 goal per match over their last 5 games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.6. Nieciecza's figures are higher: 2.8 goals on average, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8. Raków has only exceeded the 2.5 total goals mark in 1 of their last 5 matches, while Nieciecza has done so in 2 of 5. In the first half, Raków has not exceeded 1.5 goals in any match, whereas Nieciecza has in 3 of 5. In the second half, both teams have exceeded 1.5 goals in 1 of 5 matches. Raków tends to score most frequently between 0-15 and 46-60 minutes (50% each), while conceding mostly at the end (76-90 minutes, 67%). Nieciecza scores most often between 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes (22% each) and concedes most frequently between 31-45 minutes (60%). Given Raków's low scoring rate and not very high frequency of exceeding 2.5 total goals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.12 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Raków averages 4.2 corners over 5 matches, while Nieciecza averages 3. The frequency of exceeding 9.5 total corners is 2 in 5 for Raków and 4 in 5 for Nieciecza. For corner totals: over 7.5 is priced at 1.27, under 7.5 at 3.25; over 8.5 at 1.50, under 8.5 at 2.45; over 9.5 at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.90. Raków to win on corners is priced at 1.26. Combined, both teams average 7.2 corners per match, which is closer to the 7.5-8.5 total. It's optimal to consider a bet on over 7.5 or 8.5 corners, considering Nieciecza's frequency and the average figures for both teams.