Prediction for match Raków — Pogon Szczecin

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Ekstraklasa on March 8, 2026, Raków will face Pogon Szczecin. According to the odds, Raków is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.77, a draw at 3.78, and a win for Pogon Szczecin at 4.09. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Raków win 52.60%, draw 24.63%, Pogon Szczecin win 22.76%. This setup reflects Raków's advantage according to analysts and bookmakers, but a draw is also a possibility.

Team Statistics and Figures

In their last three matches, Raków played as follows: March 1 against Lech Poznań (4-3), February 21 against Nieciecza (1-0), February 14 against Zagłębie Lubin (0-0). Pogon Szczecin, in their last three encounters, won against Widzew Łódź 1-0 (February 28), defeated Górnik Zabrze 1-0 (February 21), and beat Arka Gdynia 1-0 (February 15). In terms of ball possession over the last five matches, Raków has 56.6%, while Pogon Szczecin has 53%. The average number of yellow cards: Raków - 1, Pogon Szczecin - 3.4. For fouls: Raków averages 10.4, Pogon Szczecin - 12.2. Both teams average 1.4 offsides per game. In their last head-to-head meeting on August 31, 2025, Pogon Szczecin defeated Raków 2-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Match Raków vs Pogon Szczecin

In their last five matches, Raków hit the over 2.5 goals mark twice and went under three times. Pogon Szczecin only once had over 2.5 goals, with four matches going under. The average number of goals in Raków's matches is 2.2, while Pogon Szczecin's is 1.6. Both teams score an average of 1 goal per game, with Raków conceding 1.2 and Pogon Szczecin 0.6. In the first half, the over 1.5 goals occurred once for each team over five games, while in the second half, Raków had over 1.5 goals twice, and Pogon Szczecin none. Goal intervals: Raków most often scores between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (29% each), while Pogon Szczecin scores in the first 15 minutes (40%). For goals conceded: Raków spreads the goals across four intervals (25% each), while Pogon Szczecin concedes half their goals in the final minutes (76-90, 50%). This profile of both teams and the frequency of unders suggests that betting on under 2.5 goals at 2.05 is a logical choice for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Raków averages 5 corners over the last five games, Pogon Szczecin 5.6. For the over 9.5 corners total: Raków hit it three times out of five, Pogon Szczecin twice. Among the available corner totals, the 9.5 line is closest to the average sum (10.6): over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.81, under 9.5 at 1.87. Raków is the favorite in the corner outcome with odds of 1.55. Considering both teams' average activity in corners and the frequency of over 9.5, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match.