Prediction for match Rayo Vallecano — Lech Poznan

Odds and Probability Percentages

Rayo Vallecano and Lech Poznań will face off on November 6th in a UEFA Conference League match. According to the 1X2 odds, the Spanish team is favored: a win for Rayo Vallecano is at 1.44, a draw is at 4.50, and a win for Lech is at 7.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Rayo Vallecano 65.54%, draw 20.97%, Lech Poznań 13.48%. For total goals, over 2.5 is offered at 1.67, under 2.5 at 2.15. Both teams to score: yes and no are both at 1.83. For individual totals, Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 goals is at 1.50, and Lech over 0.5 goals is at 1.67.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano has averaged 51.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Lech Poznań averages 59.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Rayo's last three matches: November 1st Villarreal 4-0 Rayo Vallecano, October 26th Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alavés, October 23rd Häcken 2-2 Rayo Vallecano. Lech's recent games: November 2nd Lech Poznań 2-2 Motor Lublin, October 26th Legia Warsaw 0-0 Lech Poznań, October 23rd Lincoln Red Imps 2-1 Lech Poznań.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, both teams have an average total goals of around 2.6 for Rayo Vallecano and 2.4 for Lech Poznań. During this period, Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 1.2, while Lech Poznań scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. The over 2.5 total goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams. In terms of halves over the last five games: Rayo had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 first halves and 2 out of 5 second halves, Lech had over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5 first halves and 2 out of 5 second halves. Rayo Vallecano most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (43%), while Lech Poznań scores most often in the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Both teams most frequently concede goals in the 0-15 and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Considering the recent match dynamics and frequency of over 2.5 totals, betting on over 2.5 goals seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Rayo Vallecano averages 5.2 corners per match, Lech Poznań averages 5.6. In the last five matches, the over 9.5 corners occurred 4 times for the Spaniards and 3 times for the Poles. For corner totals: over 9.5 is at 1.67, under 9.5 at 2.10. The outcome on corners favors Rayo Vallecano, with a win on this metric at 1.22. Considering the frequency and averages of both teams, betting on over 9.5 corners is reasonable.