Prediction for match Rayo Vallecano — Levante

Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Levante

As part of the Spanish La Liga, Rayo Vallecano will face Levante on March 16, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Rayo Vallecano is priced at 1.78, a draw at 3.90, and a win for Levante at 5.08. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Rayo Vallecano - 55.35%, Draw - 25.26%, Levante - 19.39%. Rayo Vallecano is the favorite according to the odds and percentages, which is also supported by the recent match statistics of both teams. Rayo Vallecano is expected to have the upper hand in this match, but Levante has the potential to put up a fight, considering their previous head-to-head encounters.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano has maintained 50% ball possession, averages 2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and records 2.2 offsides per game. Levante, over the same period, has 43% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides. In the last three matches, Rayo Vallecano's results were: March 12, 2026 - Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano - 1-3, March 8, 2026 - Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano - 1-1, March 4, 2026 - Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo - 3-0. Levante's last three matches were: March 7, 2026 - Levante vs Girona - 1-1, February 27, 2026 - Levante vs Alaves - 2-0, February 22, 2026 - Barcelona vs Levante - 3-0. The last head-to-head meeting took place on October 19, 2025, with Rayo Vallecano winning 3-0 at Levante's ground.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Rayo Vallecano has an average total of 2.6 goals in their last five matches, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Levante has an average total of 2.0, scoring only 0.6 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Rayo Vallecano has gone over in 2 out of 5, while Levante has done so in only 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Rayo Vallecano has 2 out of 5, Levante 1 out of 5. In the second half, Rayo Vallecano has 1 out of 5, and Levante 3 out of 5. Rayo Vallecano most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (29% each), while Levante scores most often towards the end, between 76-90 minutes (50%). Rayo Vallecano concedes most often between the 31-45 and 46-60 minute intervals (33% each), Levante also in the final minutes (76-90 minutes, 50%). Given Levante's low scoring and Rayo Vallecano's solid defense, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical, especially since both teams have under profiles for over 2.5 goals, and their average goal figures do not exceed 2.6. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.94.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Rayo Vallecano averages 5.2 corners per match, Levante 4.8. In the last five matches, Rayo Vallecano exceeded the total corners over 9.5 only once, Levante twice. Among all corner totals, the one closest to the average sum (10) is 10.5, for which there are a couple of bets: over 10.5 corners at 1.90, under 10.5 at 1.84. For corner outcomes, Rayo Vallecano is the favorite with odds of 1.23. Statistically, both teams are capable of earning corners, but the frequency of hitting high totals is not high, so a bet on a moderate total of corners or Rayo Vallecano's advantage in this component seems justified.