Prediction for match Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca, 11.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On January 11, in the Spanish La Liga, Rayo Vallecano will face Mallorca. The odds for a Rayo Vallecano win are 1.97, a draw is priced at 3.37, and a Mallorca victory is offered at 4.72. In terms of probability percentages, Rayo Vallecano has a 49.95% chance, a draw is at 29.20%, and Mallorca is at 20.85%. These numbers suggest a moderate advantage for Rayo Vallecano according to analysts. The options for total goals are as follows: over 2.0 is at 1.77, under 2.5 is at 1.62, both teams to score: yes - 2.11, no - 1.66. The double chance for Mallorca (draw or win) is at 1.93.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Rayo Vallecano achieved the following results: on January 6, they defeated Granada 3-1, drew 1-1 with Getafe on January 2, and lost 0-4 to Elche on December 21. Mallorca, in their last three games, lost to Girona 1-2 (January 4), drew 1-1 with Valencia (December 19), and lost 0-1 to Deportivo La Coruna (December 16). In their head-to-head meeting on May 24, 2025, the teams played a 0-0 draw. Additional statistics show that over the last five matches, Rayo Vallecano has an average possession of 61.4%, commits 2.8 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 3.2 offsides per game. Mallorca, on the other hand, has 43% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per match. These figures indicate higher activity from Rayo Vallecano in both attack and defense.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Rayo Vallecano's games went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. For Mallorca, there were two matches over 2.5 goals and three under. The average number of goals in Rayo Vallecano's matches is 2.6, while for Mallorca, it is 2. Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 1.4 goals per game, while Mallorca scores 1, conceding 1.2 and 1 respectively. In terms of halves, Rayo Vallecano had no occurrences of over 1.5 goals in the first half in five matches, but the second half saw over 1.5 goals three times. Mallorca had over 1.5 goals once in the first half and twice in the second half. Rayo Vallecano most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%), while Mallorca often scores late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (67%). Rayo Vallecano concedes most often in the last 15 minutes (50%), while Mallorca concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (75%). Considering this data, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.77 seems logical: both teams show a tendency for scoring in the second half, and the average goal stats suggest at least two goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Rayo Vallecano averages 6 corners per match, while Mallorca averages 3.2. In the last five games, both teams had over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (9.2) is 9.5. For this total, the odds are: over 9.5 - 1.74, under 9.5 - 2.02. Rayo Vallecano is the favorite in terms of corner outcomes with odds of 1.28. In this match, it's reasonable to expect Rayo Vallecano to attack more frequently and earn more corners, with the total corners potentially reaching 9-10 per game. It's also worth noting the individual corner stats: Rayo Vallecano's average is higher, as confirmed by recent match statistics.