Prediction for match Rayo Vallecano — Osasuna, 24.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the upcoming La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, scheduled for January 24, 2026, bookmakers have Rayo Vallecano as the favorite. The odds for a Rayo Vallecano win are set at 2.14, reflecting a probability of 46.02%. A draw is offered at 3.28 (30.02%), while a victory for Osasuna stands at 4.11 (23.96%). This suggests an advantage for Rayo Vallecano, though Osasuna is also seen as capable of putting up a fight. Overall, the odds indicate a moderately competitive match, with both teams having their chances for success.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano has averaged 54.8% possession, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 12.6 fouls, and recorded 2.6 offsides per game. During the same period, Osasuna has maintained 46.4% possession, received 3 yellow cards, committed 15.2 fouls, and been caught offside 1.6 times. In their last three games, Rayo Vallecano lost to Celta 0-3 (18.01.2026), was defeated by Alavés 0-2 (14.01.2026), and beat Mallorca 2-1 (11.01.2026). Osasuna, in their last three outings, defeated Real Oviedo 3-2 (17.01.2026), engaged in a high-scoring draw with Real Sociedad 5-6 (13.01.2026), and lost to Girona 0-1 (10.01.2026). The last head-to-head match between these teams took place on September 14, 2025, resulting in a 2-0 win for Osasuna.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano has an average total of 2.8 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 goals per match. Osasuna has shown even higher scoring ability, with an average of 3 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have surpassed the over 2.5 goals line in 3 out of 5 matches, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. In the first half, Rayo Vallecano exceeded the 1.5 total goals line only once in five matches, while Osasuna did so twice. In the second half, both teams surpassed the 1.5 total goals line three times out of five. Rayo Vallecano most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%) and concedes late in the game between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%). Osasuna most often scores late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), and concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%). Given both teams' average scoring rates, frequent over 2.5 totals, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.78 seems a logical choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Rayo Vallecano averages 7 corners per match, and Osasuna 3.4, totaling 10.4. In their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano surpassed the 9.5 corner total four times, while Osasuna did so twice. The line for total corners is set at 9.5: over is priced at 1.84, and under at 1.90. Rayo Vallecano is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.43. Considering Rayo Vallecano's high corner-taking activity and frequent surpassing of the 9.5 total, a bet on over 9.5 corners appears justified.