Prediction for match Rayo Vallecano — Real Oviedo, 07.02.2026

Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo

On February 7, in the Spanish La Liga, Rayo Vallecano will face Real Oviedo. The odds for a Rayo Vallecano victory are 1.83, a draw is at 3.56, and a win for Real Oviedo is priced at 5.33. In terms of probability percentages: Rayo Vallecano - 53.84%, draw - 27.68%, Real Oviedo - 18.49%. These figures confirm Rayo Vallecano's status as the favorite, and the difference in odds between the opponents is quite noticeable. Meanwhile, in the both teams to score market, 'yes' is offered at 2.03, and 'no' at 1.72, hinting at potential scoring difficulties for one of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano holds an average possession of 52.8%, commits 14.2 fouls, receives 3 yellow cards, and records 1.6 offsides per game. Real Oviedo's possession is 39%, with 16.6 fouls, 2.6 yellow cards, and 2 offsides. In Rayo Vallecano's last three matches: on February 1, Real Madrid defeated Rayo Vallecano 2-1, on January 24, Rayo Vallecano lost to Osasuna 3-1, and on January 18, Celta beat Rayo Vallecano 3-0. For Real Oviedo: on January 31, Real Oviedo beat Girona 1-0, on January 25, Barcelona defeated Real Oviedo 3-0, and on January 17, Osasuna won against Real Oviedo 3-2. The last head-to-head encounter between these teams was on November 23, 2025, ending in a 0-0 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of average scoring in their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano plays to an average of 3 goals per game, while Real Oviedo averages 2.6. Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 0.8 and concedes 2.2, whereas Real Oviedo scores 1 and concedes 1.6. Rayo Vallecano has hit over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, Real Oviedo in 2 out of 5. In the first half, both teams have only gone over 1.5 goals once in 5 games, but in the second half, both have gone over 1.5 in 4 out of 5 games, indicating a tendency for more activity after the break. Rayo Vallecano most frequently scores between the 46-60 and 76-90 minute marks (30% each), and concedes between the 16-30 and 76-90 minute marks (40% each). Real Oviedo most often scores between the 61-75 minute mark (56%), and their conceded goals are evenly distributed across four intervals between the 31st and 90th minutes. Given Rayo Vallecano's high average scoring, frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.63 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Rayo Vallecano averages 5.8 corners per match, Real Oviedo 4.6. In their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano exceeded 9.5 total corners in 4 out of 5 games, Real Oviedo in 2 out of 5. The total corners closest to the sum of the average figures (10.4) is the 9.5 line: over 9.5 corners is at 1.74, under 9.5 at 1.98. In terms of corners outcome, Rayo Vallecano is the favorite with odds of 1.35. Based on recent match dynamics, expecting at least 10 corners is logical, and Rayo Vallecano is often more active in this aspect. Notably, both teams tend to have a high number of corners, especially Rayo Vallecano.