Prediction for match Rayo Vallecano — Valencia, 01.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia in La Liga is scheduled for December 1, 2025. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Rayo Vallecano is priced at 2.01, a draw is at 3.47, and a win for Valencia is at 4.36. The probabilities for these outcomes are as follows: Rayo Vallecano - 49.01%, draw - 28.39%, Valencia - 22.60%. These figures highlight Rayo Vallecano as the favorite, although the percentage difference between a draw and a Valencia win is not that large. The main interest lies in the scoring potential, considering the balance in recent matches of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano had an average possession of 55.4%, recorded 2.8 yellow cards, committed 13.2 fouls, and were caught offside 0.8 times per game. Valencia, in the same period, showed 46.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Rayo Vallecano lost to Slovan Bratislava 1-2, drew with Real Oviedo 0-0, and held Real Madrid to a 0-0 draw. Valencia, in their last three games, defeated Levante 1-0, drew 1-1 with Real Betis, and lost 0-4 to Real Madrid. In their head-to-head on April 19, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Rayo Vallecano's average total goals per game is 2.4, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. Valencia's average total goals for the same period is 1.8, with the team scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Rayo Vallecano has seen 3 out of 5 matches go over, while Valencia has only 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, both teams have 1 out of 5 matches over, while in the second half, Rayo Vallecano has 3 out of 5 over, and Valencia 1 out of 5. Looking at goal intervals, Rayo Vallecano often scores between 46-60 minutes (56%), while Valencia scores in two intervals: 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (43% each). In terms of goals conceded, Rayo Vallecano's distribution is even across four intervals, while Valencia's is spread across three intervals at 33% each. These numbers indicate low scoring from both teams: both Rayo Vallecano and Valencia have an average goal tally below 1, and over 2.5 goals are not consistent. In this scenario, considering under 2.5 goals, priced at 1.81, seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Rayo Vallecano averages 5.6 corners per match, while Valencia averages 4.4. In their last 5 matches, Rayo Vallecano had over 9.5 total corners in 4 out of 5, while Valencia had 1 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (10) is the line at 10: for over 10 corners, the odds are 1.90, and for under 10, it's 1.84. Rayo Vallecano is the favorite for the corner outcome, with odds of 1.41. Given Rayo Vallecano's consistently high corner count, betting on over 10 total corners or Rayo Vallecano's individual total corners over 5.5 seems reasonable. Additionally, both teams' average corner counts above 4 support the idea of a productive game in this aspect.