Prediction for match RB Leipzig — Bayer Leverkusen, 20.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Bundesliga's main clash on December 20, 2025, RB Leipzig will face Bayer Leverkusen. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.14 for an RB Leipzig win, 3.90 for a draw, and 3.44 for a Bayer victory. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 46.07% for an RB Leipzig win, 28.66% for a Bayer win, and 25.28% for a draw. RB Leipzig is favored in the odds, but the probabilities are close, adding intrigue to the match.

Team Results and Statistics

RB Leipzig has been in good form over the last five matches, showing confident play. In their last three games, they lost to Union Berlin 1-3 (December 12), thrashed Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0 (December 6), and defeated Magdeburg 3-1 (December 2). Bayer, in their last three matches, defeated Cologne 2-0 (December 13), drew with Newcastle 2-2 (December 10), and lost to Augsburg 0-2 (December 6). On average over five matches, RB Leipzig has 55.2% possession, 1.6 offsides, 7.6 fouls, and 1.6 yellow cards. Bayer shows 57% possession, 1.6 offsides, 7.6 fouls, and 2.4 yellow cards. In their last head-to-head on January 25, 2025, the teams drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

RB Leipzig scores an average of 2.4 goals in their last five matches, concedes 0.8, with a total goal tally of 3.2 per match. Bayer is more modest with 1.2 goals scored, 1.2 conceded, and 2.4 total goals per game. In their last five matches, RB Leipzig hit over 2.5 goals three times, under twice. Bayer exceeded over 2.5 goals twice, under three times. By halves, RB Leipzig exceeded 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second half. Bayer exceeded 1.5 goals only once in the first half, but three times in the second half. RB Leipzig most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), and concedes most often in the first 15 minutes and between the 46th-60th minutes (50% each). Bayer scores most frequently early (0-15 minutes - 29%), as well as between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each). Bayer concedes most often at the end of the first half (31st-45th minutes - 40%) and in the middle of the second half (61st-75th minutes - 40%). Given RB Leipzig's high scoring rate and frequent over 2.5 goal matches, as well as both teams' second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems logical.

Corner Bets

RB Leipzig averages 6.2 corners per match, Bayer 6.8. In their last five matches, RB Leipzig exceeded 9.5 corners four times, Bayer all five times. Among the presented totals, the line closest to the average sum of corners (13) is 10.5. The odds for over 10.5 corners are 1.96, and for under, also 1.96. For corner outcomes, RB Leipzig is favored with odds of 1.72. Both teams regularly win a lot of corners, making a bet on over 10.5 corners justified.